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2007-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.2% 72.8% -
Margin 15.3% 84.7% +9.4 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% -
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% -

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Richardson 33 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 7 3 -
G. Dilligard 30 7-11 0-0 1-1 7 3 1 0 1 15 14 -
L. Dyer 27 9-12 4-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 22 13 -
D. Johnson 25 0-1 0-1 0-1 1 6 1 0 1 0 6 -
O. Eldridge 22 3-8 1-4 0-1 6 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
A. Slack 18 5-10 0-0 3-4 3 1 1 1 3 13 6 -
B. Hill 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
B. Holtz 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Vandello 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 0 -1 -
R. Fortes 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Moor 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bradley 34 4-7 3-5 3-4 3 0 2 0 1 14 11 -
K. Wilson 33 4-8 1-3 4-4 3 3 1 0 3 13 9 -
S. Ogirri 30 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 3 2 0 3 7 4 -
R. Martin 28 4-4 0-0 4-5 3 2 2 2 2 12 15 -
P.J. Couisnard 26 4-8 0-1 9-11 6 1 3 0 4 17 15 -
P. Thomasson 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 0 2 4 9 -
G. Mekel 18 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
W. Preadom 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

* = starter