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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.4% 62.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Richardson * 35 5-10 2-7 2-4 3 6 0 0 1 14 12 -
G. Dilligard * 35 5-7 0-0 2-4 9 3 3 0 3 12 17 -
L. Dyer * 24 6-12 3-7 2-3 2 1 0 1 1 17 8 -
B. Hill * 24 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 5 -
D. Johnson 32 2-5 0-2 1-1 3 3 1 0 2 5 5 -
O. Eldridge 24 2-8 2-6 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 8 3 -
A. Slack 15 0-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 0 -
B. Holtz 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Vandello 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Moor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Carlwell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Josten * 36 4-7 1-4 4-5 1 1 1 0 2 13 7 -
B. McKowen * 34 0-5 0-1 6-6 3 5 0 0 2 6 7 -
G. Stout * 33 7-12 2-4 3-4 9 3 0 2 2 19 19 -
E. Coleman * 26 6-8 0-0 3-5 7 3 0 0 1 15 16 -
K. Ahelegbe * 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
T. Brown 27 1-5 1-2 5-6 2 1 2 0 0 8 8 -
A. Koch 16 3-5 1-1 0-1 3 3 0 0 1 7 7 -
J. Eglseder 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter