Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson * | 35 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| G. Dilligard * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| L. Dyer * | 24 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| B. Hill * | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Johnson | 32 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| A. Slack | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Holtz | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Vandello | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Moor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Josten * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. McKowen * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| G. Stout * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| E. Coleman * | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Brown | 27 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Koch | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter