Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -3 (65-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Moore * | 38 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | -3 | - |
| J. Tunnell * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. McCoy * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Arnold * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| H. Marshall * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Holmstrom | 27 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Stinson | 13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Wells | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| G. Dilligard * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Hill * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| L. Dyer * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 29 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A. Slack | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Johnson | 25 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Vandello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Moor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Fortes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter