Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.8% | 62.2% | +2.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| G. Dilligard * | 29 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| L. Dyer * | 24 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 6 | - |
| B. Hill * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Richardson | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Slack | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| B. Holtz | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Moor | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Moore * | 39 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -2 | - |
| T. Wurtz * | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Arnold * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Holmstrom * | 27 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Wells * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 19 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| H. Marshall | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Stinson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. McCoy | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter