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2007-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Indiana State Sycamores Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (17.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% -

Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson * 33 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 7 9 -
G. Dilligard * 29 6-6 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 2 12 16 -
L. Dyer * 24 6-14 4-6 2-3 3 1 0 0 2 18 6 -
B. Hill * 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
B. Richardson 30 2-4 1-3 1-2 2 5 0 0 3 6 6 -
A. Slack 29 6-10 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 3 1 12 10 -
O. Eldridge 22 4-9 1-3 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 9 6 -
B. Holtz 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Moor 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Moore * 39 3-9 0-2 0-0 0 6 0 0 5 6 -2 -
T. Wurtz * 31 3-10 1-4 2-2 6 1 2 0 2 9 6 -
A. Arnold * 31 4-7 2-4 1-1 4 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
C. Holmstrom * 27 4-8 3-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 11 6 -
N. Wells * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Yelovich 19 3-8 1-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
R. Trudeau 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
H. Marshall 15 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Stinson 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. McCoy 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

* = starter