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Houston

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Houston Cougars, Houston
Program History
Coach: Kelvin Sampson

2016 Team Stats (3 games)

71.0
PPG
72.3
Opp
-1.3
Margin
45.9%
FG%
41.5%
3P%
52.4%
FT%
37.0
RPG
9.3
APG
11.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
78.2
Adj PPG
69.0
Adj Opp PPG
#59
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1193 (#67) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1146 (#80) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 1041 (#111) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +9.7 (#59) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +9.4 (#58) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.782 (#41) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +13.8 More → 0.831 (#67) AdjNet +13.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.0 More → 0.835 (#67) AdjNet +14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 69.0 More → 0.696 (#59) AdjO 78.2 | AdjD 69.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.4 More → 0.624 (#68) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.723 (#61) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.710 (#61) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 32 More → 1159 (#73) RD 118 | GP 32

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-18 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 110 - 69
2015-11-21 vs Florida A&M Rattlers W 97 - 52
2015-11-28 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 76 - 64
2015-11-30 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 78 - 65
2015-12-02 vs Murray State Racers W 93 - 78
2015-12-08 @ Rhode Island Rams L 57 - 67
2015-12-13 vs LSU Tigers W 105 - 98
2015-12-16 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 73 - 65
2015-12-19 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 81 - 65
2015-12-21 vs Grand Canyon Lopes L 69 - 78
2015-12-22 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 94 - 89
2015-12-28 vs Nicholls Colonels W 76 - 49
2015-12-30 @ South Florida Bulls W 73 - 67
2016-01-02 @ Temple Owls W 77 - 50
2016-01-05 vs Tulane Green Wave W 63 - 45
2016-01-13 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 59 - 70
2016-01-17 vs UConn Huskies L 57 - 69
2016-01-19 @ SMU Mustangs L 73 - 77
2016-01-23 vs South Florida Bulls L 62 - 71
2016-01-27 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 81 - 66
2016-01-30 @ East Carolina Pirates W 97 - 93
2016-02-01 vs SMU Mustangs W 71 - 68
2016-02-07 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 63 - 77
2016-02-10 vs Memphis Tigers W 98 - 90
2016-02-13 vs UCF Knights W 82 - 58
2016-02-17 @ Tulane Green Wave W 82 - 69
2016-02-21 vs Temple Owls L 66 - 69
2016-02-24 @ UCF Knights W 88 - 61
2016-02-28 @ UConn Huskies W 75 - 68
2016-03-03 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 69 - 56
2016-03-11 vs Tulane Green Wave L 69 - 72
2016-03-16 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 62 - 81

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Robert Gray Robert Gray G 23 25.9 16.1 2.3 1.5 1.2 0.2 1.4 3.0 16.8 76 20 3.8 6.3 42.9 32.1 59.1 -1.84 232.8 49.3
Devonta Pollard Devonta Pollard F 29 30.1 14.0 5.7 1.6 1.0 0.6 1.5 3.4 18.0 112 25 4.5 7.1 43.0 50.0 69.1 0.9 156.2 43.5
Damyean Dotson Damyean Dotson G 29 30.6 13.8 6.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 1.0 2.9 18.4 124 25 5.0 7.4 45.8 37.3 75.0 1.03 218.4 57.2
Ronnie Johnson Ronnie Johnson G 4 23.0 10.5 2.2 2.8 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.8 9.8 69 23 3.0 6.0 30.4 16.7 66.7 0.24 86.3 32.6
Galen Robinson Galen Robinson - 29 23.9 7.5 2.4 3.3 1.0 0.1 1.6 2.4 10.3 110 25 4.4 8.4 47.8 42.9 80.0 1.27 135.6 52.2
LeRon Barnes LeRon Barnes G 27 25.0 6.3 5.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.6 1.8 11.5 102 23 4.4 8.4 55.1 56.2 45.5 2.74 158.8 73.5
Danrad Knowles Danrad Knowles F 29 18.2 6.2 3.9 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.3 9.3 99 25 4.0 10.1 45.9 0.0 42.9 2.48 209.7 45.9
Wes VanBeck Wes VanBeck G 16 7.9 4.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 5.5 12 12 1.0 4.2 44.4 50.0 75.0 -1.18 306.7 50.0
L.J. Rose L.J. Rose G 2 13.5 3.5 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 6.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 0 - 350.0 150.0
Kyle Meyer Kyle Meyer C 29 13.5 2.4 2.8 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 5.2 42 24 1.8 5.4 44.4 50.0 50.0 -0.88 167.2 47.2
Eric Weary Eric Weary G 16 6.6 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.8 35 14 2.5 14.4 22.2 25.0 0.0 1.09 141.7 33.3
Xavier Dupree Xavier Dupree F 19 8.5 1.6 1.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.1 3.7 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 750.0 75.0
Bertrand Nkali Bertrand Nkali F 22 8.8 1.4 2.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.2 4.2 27 16 1.7 7.8 80.0 0 27.3 -1.12 157.5 80.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG