Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | -11.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -6 (67-73). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonta Pollard * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Rob Gray * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 8-13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Damyean Dotson * | 34 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Galen Robinson * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Meyer * | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Johnson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Danrad Knowles | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Dupree | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| LeRon Barnes | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eric Weary Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wes VanBeck | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmal McMurray * | 38 | 6-14 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Bo Zeigler * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Chris Perry * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Angel Nunez * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Jaleel Cousins * | 21 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nehemias Morillo | 29 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Ruben Guerrero | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - |
| Luis Santos | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tre' Bryant | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter