Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.1% | 21.9% | -7.0 | ✓ (20.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -27 (61-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damyean Dotson * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Devonta Pollard * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Galen Robinson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Bertrand Nkali * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| LeRon Barnes * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Eric Weary | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Danrad Knowles | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Robert Gray | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Meyer | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Dupree | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Wes VanBeck | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chance McSpadden * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Adonys Henriquez * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| A.J. Davis * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Matt Williams * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tacko Fall * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Shaheed Davis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Daiquan Walker | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chad Brown | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tanksley Efianayi | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Djordjije Mumin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter