Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | -5.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 71.1% | 28.9% | -5.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +3 (71-68). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 38 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 36 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jarrey Foster * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Sterling Brown | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronnie Johnson | 23 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Damyean Dotson * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Galen Robinson * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Meyer * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Danrad Knowles * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Devonta Pollard | 32 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 8-13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| LeRon Barnes | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Wes VanBeck | 13 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Bertrand Nkali | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Eric Weary | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter