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2016-02-01

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% -
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% -
Log Adjusted 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Houston Cougars +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Moore * 38 5-13 4-9 2-2 1 3 3 0 1 16 9 -
S. Milton * 36 4-6 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 10 8 -
B. Moore * 27 1-5 0-0 10-10 2 0 0 0 1 12 8 -13.0
J. Foster * 22 3-5 0-1 3-3 3 2 0 1 2 9 8 -
J. Tolbert * 22 1-6 0-1 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 5 1 +1.2
M. Kennedy 29 5-9 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 2 2 12 13 -5.8
S. Brown 26 2-8 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 4 -3 -6.3

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Johnson 23 3-10 1-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 7 5 -0.0
D. Dotson * 26 5-10 2-5 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 13 7 +8.3
G. Robinson Jr. * 24 3-4 0-1 1-1 6 2 1 2 7 7 7 +8.2
K. Meyer * 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
D. Knowles * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 +0.1
D. Pollard 32 7-13 1-1 8-13 7 2 1 1 2 23 19 +8.7
L. Barnes 27 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 8 8 +9.0
W. VanBeck 13 2-7 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 6 2 +0.0
B. Nkali 13 1-1 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 2 0 3 8 +7.9
E. Weary Jr. 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter