Houston Comets
2004 Team Stats (30 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 831 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 933 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 902 (#13) | HCA +105 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -0.3 (#6) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -2.9 (#12) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.470 (#6) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.487 (#6) | AdjNet -0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.488 (#6) | AdjNet -0.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.494 (#6) | AdjO 62.6 | AdjD 62.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.440 (#12) | AdjO 63.1 | AdjD 65.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.406 (#12) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.396 (#12) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 824 (#13) | RD 143 | GP 33 |
2004 Schedule & Results
2004 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson | F | 22 | 36.3 | 19.6 | 6.0 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 17.5 | 9.0 | -1 | 26 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 39.2 | 41.1 | 78.4 | 0.45 | 49.5 | 44.3 |
| Sheryl Swoopes | F | 28 | 34.3 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 13.4 | 8.9 | 27 | 31 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 42.5 | 28.1 | 84.2 | 0.25 | 48.8 | 44.7 |
| Michelle Snow | C | 29 | 29.1 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 7.5 | 10.2 | 46 | 31 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 46.1 | 0 | 58.7 | 0.61 | 49.7 | 46.1 |
| Kedra Holland-Corn | G | 24 | 25.7 | 7.1 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 62 | 27 | 2.3 | 4.0 | 39.3 | 34.8 | 70.3 | 1.22 | 53.0 | 50.0 |
| Sheila Lambert | G | 30 | 25.2 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 55 | 34 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 41.9 | 25.9 | 78.4 | 0.47 | 49.1 | 43.9 |
| Dominique Canty | G | 28 | 24.4 | 5.7 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 41 | 32 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 43.3 | 0.0 | 72.1 | 0.13 | 49.7 | 43.3 |
| Tiffani Johnson | F | 29 | 19.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 4.8 | 69 | 33 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 48.0 | 0 | 71.4 | 0.76 | 51.7 | 48.0 |
| Felicia Ragland | G | 30 | 13.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 42 | 34 | 1.2 | 3.3 | 37.0 | 40.5 | 81.8 | 1.08 | 47.7 | 45.5 |
| Octavia Blue | G | 11 | 11.8 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 20 | 13 | 1.5 | 5.3 | 32.4 | 0.0 | 90.0 | 0.14 | 40.4 | 32.4 |
| Lucienne Berthieu | - | 13 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 12 | 16 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 35.5 | 0 | 72.2 | -0.13 | 45.0 | 35.5 |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough | - | 17 | 7.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 12 | 19 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 21.4 | 0 | 76.2 | 0.0 | 47.3 | 21.4 |
| LaTonya Johnson | - | 5 | 6.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 33.3 | 33.3 | 0.0 | - | 43.6 | 50.0 |
| Gordana Grubin | - | 5 | 4.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0 | 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2004 Shot Zones
1919 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tina ThompsonSheryl SwoopesMichelle SnowSheila LambertKedra Holland-CornDominique CantyFelicia Ragland
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 291-545 | 53.4 | 582 | Sheryl Swoopes 20% (116 pts) | Tina Thompson 17% (98 pts) | Dominique Canty 16% (41 misses) | Tina Thompson 16% (41 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 160-413 | 38.7 | 320 | Michelle Snow 30% (96 pts) | Sheryl Swoopes 20% (64 pts) | Tina Thompson 25% (64 misses) | Sheryl Swoopes 22% (56 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 110-303 | 36.3 | 220 | Sheryl Swoopes 34% (74 pts) | Tina Thompson 23% (50 pts) | Sheryl Swoopes 35% (67 misses) | Tina Thompson 26% (51 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 18-53 | 34.0 | 36 | Sheila Lambert 22% (8 pts) | Michelle Snow 17% (6 pts) | Sheryl Swoopes 37% (13 misses) | Michelle Snow 14% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 93-252 | 36.9 | 186 | Sheryl Swoopes 33% (62 pts) | Tina Thompson 30% (56 pts) | Sheryl Swoopes 27% (43 misses) | Tina Thompson 26% (42 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 7-25 | 28.0 | 21 | Kedra Holland-Corn 43% (9 pts) | Felicia Ragland 14% (3 pts) | Kedra Holland-Corn 50% (9 misses) | Tina Thompson 22% (4 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 8-15 | 53.3 | 24 | Felicia Ragland 75% (18 pts) | Sheila Lambert 12% (3 pts) | Kedra Holland-Corn 43% (3 misses) | Sheila Lambert 43% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 48-145 | 33.1 | 144 | Tina Thompson 38% (54 pts) | Kedra Holland-Corn 29% (42 pts) | Tina Thompson 36% (35 misses) | Kedra Holland-Corn 23% (22 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 24-68 | 35.3 | 72 | Tina Thompson 58% (42 pts) | Sheryl Swoopes 21% (15 pts) | Kedra Holland-Corn 34% (15 misses) | Tina Thompson 32% (14 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 33-100 | 33.0 | 99 | Kedra Holland-Corn 33% (33 pts) | Tina Thompson 33% (33 pts) | Sheryl Swoopes 28% (19 misses) | Kedra Holland-Corn 24% (16 misses) |