Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Comets | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (73-63). Ratings: 2005 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Comets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Thompson * | 37 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 30 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Felicia Ragland * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Canty | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tiffani Johnson | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sheila Lambert | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gordana Grubin | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Lucienne Berthieu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Octavia Blue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Anna DeForge * | 31 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Penny Taylor * | 30 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Shereka Wright | 25 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kayte Christensen | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Slobodanka Tuvic | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tamara Moore | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lindsay Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter