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2004-07-06

Model Predictions

Model Houston Comets Dallas Wings Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.3% 48.7% - โœ—
Margin 46.5% 53.5% +0.8 โœ“ (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 59.3% 40.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“

Actual: Dallas Wings +19 (82-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michelle Snow * 35 6-11 0-0 1-2 14 0 1 4 4 13 17 -
Sheryl Swoopes * 33 4-12 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 10 4 -
Tiffani Johnson * 26 6-9 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 1 12 6 -
Sheila Lambert * 22 2-7 0-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 6 0 -
Kedra Holland-Corn * 18 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 0 -1 -
Dominique Canty 27 1-7 0-1 6-8 4 2 0 0 3 8 4 -
Felicia Ragland 17 3-6 0-2 2-2 0 1 2 0 2 8 3 -
Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Lucienne Berthieu 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 1 -

Dallas Wings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ruth Riley * 36 7-17 0-0 2-2 7 0 3 2 3 16 8 -
Swin Cash * 34 6-16 0-0 7-10 11 8 6 2 3 19 27 -
Deanna Nolan * 34 4-9 0-2 2-2 4 7 4 2 1 10 17 -
Chandi Jones * 30 4-10 0-1 4-5 3 2 1 1 0 12 9 -
Cheryl Ford * 17 5-10 0-0 6-6 8 0 0 0 0 16 14 -
Ayana Walker 16 1-6 0-0 0-2 8 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Iciss Tillis 15 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
Merlakia Jones 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
Isabel Sanchez 3 0-1 0-1 3-4 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter