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2004-07-27

Model Predictions

Model Seattle Storm Houston Comets Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 โœ“ (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Comets +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauren Jackson * 30 6-15 0-3 2-2 4 3 1 0 2 14 5 -
Betty Lennox * 28 4-11 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 9 -1 -
Kamila Vodichkova * 27 3-4 0-0 0-2 6 3 1 0 1 6 11 -
Sue Bird * 27 2-8 1-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 5 -1 -
Sheri Sam * 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 4 1 -
Simone Edwards 18 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
Tully Bevilaqua 12 0-2 0-1 5-6 2 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
Alicia Thompson 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Michelle Greco 10 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
Catrina Frierson 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Adia Barnes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Houston Comets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sheryl Swoopes * 29 3-11 0-2 4-4 8 5 2 0 2 10 12 -
Tina Thompson * 28 8-14 4-5 2-3 7 1 2 0 2 22 16 -
Michelle Snow * 24 4-6 0-0 1-2 7 2 1 0 1 9 12 -
Kedra Holland-Corn * 23 2-3 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
Sheila Lambert * 21 1-5 0-2 4-4 1 3 0 0 3 6 2 -
Felicia Ragland 20 3-8 2-4 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 10 9 -
Dominique Canty 18 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 6 7 -
Tiffani Johnson 18 4-5 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 1 0 9 9 -
Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
Octavia Blue 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter