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Grambling

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Grambling Tigers
Program History
Coach: Patrick Crarey II

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 570 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 664 (#336) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 864 (#325) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -24.2 (#345) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -20.9 (#344) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.037 (#344) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -39.5 More → 0.010 (#345) AdjNet -39.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -39.9 More → 0.010 (#345) AdjNet -39.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 49.7 | AdjD 72.5 More → 0.112 (#345) AdjO 49.7 | AdjD 72.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.234 (#344) AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 69.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.078 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.092 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 26 More → 625 (#338) RD 154 | GP 26

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 @ Houston Cougars L 42 - 88
2011-11-14 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 39 - 69
2011-11-16 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 34 - 64
2011-11-19 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 45 - 75
2011-11-26 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 44 - 86
2011-11-30 @ Washington State Cougars L 37 - 69
2011-12-18 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 59 - 87
2011-12-20 @ North Texas Mean Green L 40 - 82
2011-12-22 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 53 - 85
2011-12-29 @ LSU Tigers L 37 - 69
2012-01-03 vs Alabama State Hornets L 62 - 73
2012-01-05 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 60 - 55
2012-01-07 @ Southern Jaguars L 59 - 72
2012-01-09 @ Alcorn State Braves W 72 - 71
2012-01-14 vs Texas Southern Tigers L 57 - 61
2012-01-16 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers L 64 - 81
2012-01-28 @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 60 - 55
2012-01-30 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 59 - 77
2012-02-04 vs Southern Jaguars L 53 - 57
2012-02-06 vs Alcorn State Braves L 55 - 57
2012-02-13 @ Prairie View A&M Panthers L 52 - 71
2012-02-18 vs Jackson State Tigers L 60 - 63
2012-02-25 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 60 - 79
2012-02-27 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions L 53 - 68
2012-03-01 @ Alabama State Hornets L 61 - 63
2012-03-03 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 75 - 72

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Quincy Roberts Quincy Roberts G 18 37.2 23.7 6.2 1.6 1.1 0.3 3.8 7.2 21.8 - - - - 47.3 34.9 78.7 -0.2 136.7 53.1
Xavier Rogers Xavier Rogers - 22 30.5 9.1 2.6 1.7 1.0 0.0 2.2 3.0 9.2 - - - - 36.9 25.8 70.0 - 144.1 43.1
Raschard Boatner Raschard Boatner G 3 31.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 4.3 0.0 9.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.53 0 0
P. Roberson P. Roberson C 26 29.5 7.7 7.5 0.4 0.4 2.7 1.1 2.2 15.3 -175 9 -19.4 -28.3 38.6 0 50.0 -4.12 161.4 38.6
Brandon Dorsett Brandon Dorsett G 18 25.7 7.0 2.8 1.8 1.1 0.2 2.8 2.6 7.4 - - - - 34.0 25.0 66.7 -2.46 114.7 37.2
Rondale Livas Rondale Livas - 26 24.7 4.3 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.0 3.4 0.9 6.1 - - - - 30.4 50.0 75.0 - 196.3 32.6
David Copeland David Copeland G 16 22.2 3.6 2.6 1.7 0.6 0.0 1.7 0.8 6.0 - - - - 33.3 0 70.6 -2.28 146.3 33.3
Bryant Purvis Bryant Purvis G-F 25 20.7 3.3 3.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.6 2.0 4.1 -146 9 -16.2 -29.0 29.4 20.0 70.0 -3.62 74.0 32.4
Demetri Wheeler Demetri Wheeler F 19 22.2 3.3 2.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.4 5.8 -120 8 -15.0 -32.8 50.0 0 0.0 -3.99 354.7 50.0
Roman Higgins Roman Higgins G-F 16 10.9 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 1.6 0.2 2.8 -90 8 -11.2 -31.2 33.3 50.0 75.0 -3.31 430.7 50.0
Steven Danridge Steven Danridge C 26 17.4 2.3 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 4.1 -140 9 -15.6 -33.1 47.1 0 16.7 -4.09 155.3 47.1

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG