Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.1% | 19.9% | -7.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -11 (62-73). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory White | 40 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tramaine Butler | 40 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jeffery Middlebrooks | 36 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Phillip Crawford | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Kenderek Washington | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Stephawn Brown | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Luther Page | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Mason | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Roberts | 40 | 12-18 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 33 | 17 | - |
| Rondale Livas | 29 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| David Copeland | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Bryant Purvis | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Xavier Rogers | 24 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Peter Roberson | 23 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Steven Danridge | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Demetri Wheeler | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Dorsett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derron Hobbs | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter