Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.6% | 63.4% | +2.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers +5 (60-55). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Hunter | 40 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jeremy Crutcher | 36 | 4-16 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Casey Cantey | 32 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 2-8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Lee | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Martin | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brandon Ellis | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Demarquelle Tabb | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eddie Hardy Jr. | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Diamon Alexander | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremy Ingram | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jose Long | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Green Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Roberts | 38 | 5-18 | 1-7 | 10-11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Bryant Purvis | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Dorsett | 30 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| David Copeland | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Peter Roberson | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Xavier Rogers | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Steven Danridge | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Demetri Wheeler | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rondale Livas | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter