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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2017 Team Stats (3 games)

75.3
PPG
76.7
Opp
-1.3
Margin
43.3%
FG%
36.1%
3P%
73.7%
FT%
38.7
RPG
10.7
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.4
Adj PPG
69.7
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1053 (#136) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1056 (#124) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1031 (#126) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +0.5 (#159) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -0.1 (#167) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.573 (#124) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.517 (#156) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.516 (#156) AdjNet +0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.516 (#157) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.520 (#151) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.539 (#146) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.540 (#146) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1059 (#120) RD 113 | GP 31

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Thomas Night Hawks W 111 - 69
2016-11-14 @ Auburn Tigers L 65 - 83
2016-11-18 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 56 - 64
2016-11-22 vs NJIT Highlanders W 74 - 53
2016-11-23 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 82 - 65
2016-11-30 vs Wright State Raiders W 81 - 74
2016-12-04 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 60 - 82
2016-12-10 vs Georgia Southwestern Hurricanes W 83 - 52
2016-12-14 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 94 - 79
2016-12-18 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 46 - 58
2016-12-21 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 64 - 56
2016-12-28 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 65 - 74
2016-12-31 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 65 - 88
2017-01-07 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 78 - 77
2017-01-09 vs Troy Trojans L 77 - 80
2017-01-14 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 73 - 65
2017-01-16 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 101 - 86
2017-01-21 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 76 - 56
2017-01-23 vs App State Mountaineers W 83 - 72
2017-01-28 @ Troy Trojans W 78 - 72
2017-01-30 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 83 - 80
2017-02-04 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 85 - 82
2017-02-06 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 69 - 55
2017-02-11 @ App State Mountaineers L 72 - 77
2017-02-13 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 64 - 65
2017-02-18 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 67 - 68
2017-02-20 vs Texas State Bobcats W 67 - 51
2017-02-25 @ Little Rock Trojans W 71 - 54
2017-02-27 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 67 - 78
2017-03-04 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 72 - 67
2017-03-10 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 86 - 76
2017-03-11 vs Troy Trojans L 63 - 74
2017-03-15 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 64 - 80

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Hollowell Jeremy Hollowell F 3 35.0 16.7 8.3 2.3 0.0 1.7 2.3 12.3 14.3 81 25 3.2 4.3 37.8 47.6 75.0 4.84 56.8 51.4
D'Marcus Simonds D'Marcus Simonds G 17 26.9 12.6 3.9 2.1 1.4 0.3 2.3 1.6 16.4 45 22 2.0 3.3 35.7 25.0 80.0 0.26 309.2 37.5
Isaiah Williams Isaiah Williams G 19 21.5 8.7 1.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 1.2 0.9 11.1 96 24 4.0 8.0 50.0 66.7 91.7 0.31 356.5 61.1
Malik Benlevi Malik Benlevi F 20 26.2 8.6 4.3 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.0 1.4 13.5 34 25 1.4 2.2 42.9 12.5 70.0 -0.5 265.4 44.6
Justin Seymour Justin Seymour G 9 20.7 7.3 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 1.4 0.2 9.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 1145.8 0.0
Willie Clayton Willie Clayton F 20 20.2 6.2 7.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.6 0.7 12.4 -21 25 -0.8 -1.7 71.4 0 45.5 -5.08 331.7 71.4
Jeff Thomas Jeff Thomas F 20 18.6 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 8.4 68 25 2.7 6.5 50.0 53.8 0.0 3.98 291.3 69.4
Devin Mitchell Devin Mitchell G 20 11.2 4.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 5.4 98 25 3.9 15.8 38.5 33.3 87.5 4.99 284.5 50.0
Isaiah Dennis Isaiah Dennis G 20 14.8 4.4 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.1 1.3 0.8 7.0 -33 25 -1.3 -3.9 62.5 0.0 60.0 -4.9 215.7 62.5
Jordan Session Jordan Session F 19 15.5 3.7 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 6.5 9 25 0.4 1.1 60.0 50.0 0 -2.7 350.0 70.0
Austin Donaldson Austin Donaldson G 15 11.3 2.5 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.0 0.7 1.1 3.8 -97 20 -4.8 -21.2 31.2 0.0 50.0 -9.95 109.6 31.2
Carter Cagle Carter Cagle G 3 2.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Chris Clerkley Chris Clerkley F 7 2.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nile Felton Nile Felton G 5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG