Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -8 (56-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Benlevi * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Session * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Justin Seymour * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Thomas | 21 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D'Marcus Simonds | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Austin Donaldson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Willie Clayton | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Devin Mitchell | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Isaiah Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Potts * | 34 | 8-20 | 2-11 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| R. Upshaw Jr. * | 30 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Simpson * | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Dixon * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 21 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Q. Copeland | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Foote | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Gamble | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Walters | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Habersham | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter