Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +9.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Seymour * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Isaiah Williams * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Willie Clayton * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Malik Benlevi * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Thomas | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Devin Mitchell | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Austin Donaldson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Session | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| D'Marcus Simonds | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Clerkley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustapha Heron * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Jared Harper * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 26 | - |
| Horace Spencer * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Danjel Purifoy * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Bryce Brown * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Dunans | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T.J. Lang | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| LaRon Smith | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ronnie Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Trey Tate | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Cohen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devin Waddell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Keim | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Will Macoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter