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2017-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Georgia State Panthers South Alabama Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 69.6% 30.4% -7.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.5% 41.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“

Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -3 (80-83). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Hollowell * 36 6-9 4-5 4-5 5 4 1 0 4 20 17 -
D'Marcus Simonds * 34 8-9 0-0 5-8 2 5 3 0 4 21 18 -
Malik Benlevi * 29 2-5 2-4 3-6 3 0 0 1 1 9 7 -
Willie Clayton * 25 1-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Isaiah Williams * 23 2-7 0-4 4-4 3 2 1 1 4 8 4 -
Jeff Thomas 17 2-3 2-3 3-4 3 0 1 0 2 9 8 -
Isaiah Dennis 14 2-2 0-0 3-6 0 0 2 0 1 7 6 -
Jordan Session 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Devin Mitchell 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -

South Alabama Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ken Williams * 32 7-16 3-9 4-4 1 3 0 0 1 21 8 -
Josh Ajayi * 21 5-10 1-1 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 13 5 -
Trhae Mitchell * 21 1-2 1-1 0-0 6 5 0 0 2 3 10 -
Don MuepoKelly * 19 2-2 0-0 3-6 1 1 2 1 2 7 8 -
Dederick Lee * 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 3 6 -
Nick Stover 20 2-7 1-5 2-3 1 1 2 0 3 7 1 -
Georgi Boyanov 18 3-7 0-2 3-4 8 1 0 0 1 9 10 -
Nick Davis 18 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 3 0 1 4 8 -
Shaq Calhoun 17 2-5 1-4 2-2 1 1 2 1 2 7 5 -
Herb McGee 17 2-3 1-2 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
Kevin Morris 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter