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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2015 Team Stats (4 games)

61.3
PPG
-
Opp
-
Margin
44.6%
FG%
29.1%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
24.5
RPG
11.8
APG
9.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.2
Adj PPG
61.3
Adj Opp PPG
#73
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1204 (#54) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1165 (#58) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More โ†’ 1148 (#15) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +6.8 (#77) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +9.2 (#49) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.786 (#30) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.2 More โ†’ 0.763 (#81) AdjNet +10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.2 More โ†’ 0.766 (#81) AdjNet +10.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.650 (#73) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 61.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 59.4 More โ†’ 0.679 (#24) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 59.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.741 (#49) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.746 (#47) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 106 | GP 34 More โ†’ 1170 (#57) RD 106 | GP 34

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Tennessee Temple Crusaders W 115 - 55
2014-11-17 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 58 - 81
2014-11-21 @ Colorado State Rams L 70 - 80
2014-11-24 @ Chicago State Cougars W 69 - 46
2014-11-25 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 85 - 70
2014-11-26 @ Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 83 - 78
2014-11-29 @ IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 66 - 63
2014-12-04 vs Green Bay Phoenix W 72 - 48
2014-12-17 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 54 - 58
2014-12-21 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 68 - 55
2014-12-27 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 61 - 78
2014-12-30 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 65 - 45
2015-01-03 vs Little Rock Trojans W 82 - 69
2015-01-05 vs Texas State Bobcats L 74 - 77
2015-01-08 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 80 - 84
2015-01-10 vs Troy Trojans W 77 - 72
2015-01-15 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 83 - 62
2015-01-17 @ App State Mountaineers L 69 - 74
2015-01-19 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves W 60 - 54
2015-01-24 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 75 - 64
2015-01-29 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 88 - 74
2015-01-31 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 74 - 43
2015-02-05 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 54 - 58
2015-02-07 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 65 - 54
2015-02-14 @ Texas State Bobcats W 53 - 41
2015-02-19 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 79 - 51
2015-02-21 vs App State Mountaineers W 87 - 43
2015-02-26 @ Little Rock Trojans L 83 - 92
2015-02-28 @ Troy Trojans W 75 - 64
2015-03-05 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 58 - 50
2015-03-07 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 72 - 55
2015-03-14 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 83 - 79
2015-03-15 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 38 - 36
2015-03-19 @ Baylor Bears W 57 - 56
2015-03-21 @ Xavier Musketeers L 67 - 75

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R.J. Hunter R.J. Hunter G 33 36.8 19.5 4.6 3.5 2.2 1.0 2.2 5.5 23.2 179 24 7.5 8.8 44.2 40.9 87.8 4.65 148.3 54.7
Ryan Harrow Ryan Harrow G 27 32.3 18.3 2.1 3.7 1.4 0.1 2.0 4.3 19.4 136 19 7.2 9.7 47.0 36.7 74.2 2.69 189.1 51.7
Markus Crider Markus Crider F 33 31.2 9.9 6.3 1.8 1.3 0.3 1.7 2.1 15.8 126 24 5.2 7.2 64.3 0 84.4 1.1 194.5 64.3
Kevin Ware Kevin Ware G 33 29.2 7.9 3.2 2.5 1.8 0.3 1.4 2.6 11.7 73 24 3.0 4.4 49.4 36.4 66.7 -2.85 131.6 54.1
Curtis Washington Curtis Washington F 33 16.7 4.9 4.1 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.9 1.2 8.6 21 24 0.9 2.1 65.0 0 76.5 -2.31 169.5 65.0
T.J. Shipes T.J. Shipes F 31 21.3 4.9 4.1 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.0 8.5 130 23 5.7 12.1 62.5 0 52.6 2.4 187.1 62.5
Ryann Green Ryann Green G 33 19.9 3.6 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.0 0.8 1.4 5.9 64 24 2.7 5.6 35.6 30.8 75.0 -1.64 119.3 44.4
Isaiah Dennis Isaiah Dennis G 25 9.2 2.8 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.3 1.3 4.0 70 20 3.5 16.6 56.2 0.0 50.0 2.85 98.5 56.2
Jordan Session Jordan Session F 29 6.9 2.4 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 3.6 6 21 0.3 1.9 60.0 0 57.1 -3.99 271.4 60.0
David Travers David Travers G 4 5.0 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 - - - - 100.0 100.0 66.7 - 120.5 150.0
Jalen Brown Jalen Brown F 29 8.5 2.0 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.6 3.0 49 21 2.3 12.7 47.1 43.8 62.5 0.77 141.3 67.6
Carter Cagle Carter Cagle G 12 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 -13 7 -1.9 -70.3 0 0 0 -3.07 0 0
Corey Tobin Corey Tobin G 9 1.4 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -11 5 -2.2 -69.3 0 0 0 -3.04 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG