Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -12 (41-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Hunter * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Ware * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ryann Green * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Markus Crider * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | - |
| Curtis Washington * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T.J. Shipes | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Session | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emani Gant * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 23 | - |
| D.J. Brown * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Cameron Naylor * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Kavin Gilder-Tilbury * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| JaMarcus Weatherspoon | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Ethan Montalvo | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ojai Black | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendell Ramlal | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Austin Evans | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter