Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (12.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bilbo * | 37 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 35 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Thomas * | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| John Walton * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kelton Ford | 20 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Aaron Ariri | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Christian Harrison | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Hunter * | 38 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 15-17 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 37 | 26 | - |
| Kevin Ware * | 34 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Markus Crider * | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ryann Green * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| T.J. Shipes * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Curtis Washington | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Brown | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Session | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter