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2014-12-30

Model Predictions

Model UL Monroe Warhawks Georgia State Panthers Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 โœ“ (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: Georgia State Panthers +20 (65-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Coppola * 29 2-4 2-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 6 10 -
Jamaal Samuel * 26 4-12 1-4 0-1 5 2 0 0 1 9 3 -
Tylor Ongwae * 22 0-7 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -5 -
DeMondre Harvey * 20 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Chinedu Amajoyi * 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
Prince Cooper 18 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
Majok Deng 17 3-9 0-2 0-1 8 1 0 1 1 6 6 -
Marvin Williams 17 1-3 0-0 5-6 6 1 0 0 3 7 8 -
Mack Foster 14 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
Justin Roberson 13 0-5 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
Lance Richard 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R.J. Hunter * 37 5-11 2-7 6-7 3 3 2 1 0 18 16 -
Ryan Harrow * 36 3-14 0-4 1-1 1 8 0 0 2 7 0 -
Markus Crider * 28 5-8 0-0 3-4 10 0 2 0 0 13 17 -
Ryann Green * 21 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 7 9 -
Curtis Washington * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Jalen Brown 26 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 3 5 -
Kevin Ware 22 3-6 0-1 3-4 1 2 1 0 1 9 6 -
Jordan Session 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 1 4 10 -
Carter Cagle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isaiah Dennis 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter