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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2017 Team Stats (20 games)

74.1
PPG
71.0
Opp
+3.1
Margin
46.4%
FG%
36.0%
3P%
65.3%
FT%
35.0
RPG
11.8
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.4
Adj PPG
69.7
Adj Opp PPG
#157
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1053 (#136) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1056 (#124) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1031 (#126) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +0.5 (#159) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -0.1 (#167) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.573 (#124) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.517 (#156) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.516 (#156) AdjNet +0.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 69.7 More โ†’ 0.516 (#157) AdjO 70.4 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 69.4 More โ†’ 0.520 (#151) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 69.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.539 (#146) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.540 (#146) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1059 (#120) RD 113 | GP 31

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Thomas Night Hawks W 111 - 69
2016-11-14 @ Auburn Tigers L 65 - 83
2016-11-18 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 56 - 64
2016-11-22 vs NJIT Highlanders W 74 - 53
2016-11-23 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 82 - 65
2016-11-30 vs Wright State Raiders W 81 - 74
2016-12-04 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs L 60 - 82
2016-12-10 vs Georgia Southwestern Hurricanes W 83 - 52
2016-12-14 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 94 - 79
2016-12-18 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 46 - 58
2016-12-21 @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 64 - 56
2016-12-28 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 65 - 74
2016-12-31 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 65 - 88
2017-01-07 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 78 - 77
2017-01-09 vs Troy Trojans L 77 - 80
2017-01-14 @ UL Monroe Warhawks W 73 - 65
2017-01-16 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 101 - 86
2017-01-21 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 76 - 56
2017-01-23 vs App State Mountaineers W 83 - 72
2017-01-28 @ Troy Trojans W 78 - 72
2017-01-30 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 83 - 80
2017-02-04 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 85 - 82
2017-02-06 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 69 - 55
2017-02-11 @ App State Mountaineers L 72 - 77
2017-02-13 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 64 - 65
2017-02-18 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 67 - 68
2017-02-20 vs Texas State Bobcats W 67 - 51
2017-02-25 @ Little Rock Trojans W 71 - 54
2017-02-27 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 67 - 78
2017-03-04 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 72 - 67
2017-03-10 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 86 - 76
2017-03-11 vs Troy Trojans L 63 - 74
2017-03-15 @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 64 - 80

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Hollowell Jeremy Hollowell F 20 31.8 16.6 5.9 1.8 0.9 0.7 2.8 13.0 10.2 81 25 3.2 4.3 45.0 39.3 76.5 4.84 57.3 53.8
D'Marcus Simonds D'Marcus Simonds G 17 26.9 12.6 3.9 2.1 1.4 0.3 2.3 9.1 8.9 45 22 2.0 3.3 51.6 33.3 67.6 0.26 57.9 54.2
Isaiah Williams Isaiah Williams G 19 21.5 8.7 1.7 1.9 0.8 0.2 1.2 6.2 5.9 96 24 4.0 8.0 45.3 36.7 85.7 0.31 59.9 53.0
Malik Benlevi Malik Benlevi F 20 26.2 8.6 4.3 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.0 6.0 8.9 34 25 1.4 2.2 52.1 40.9 65.2 -0.5 61.8 59.7
Justin Seymour Justin Seymour G 9 20.7 7.3 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 1.4 6.8 3.1 - - - - 37.7 33.3 72.7 - 50.1 47.5
Willie Clayton Willie Clayton F 20 20.2 6.2 7.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.6 4.2 8.9 -21 25 -0.8 -1.7 65.1 0 33.3 -5.08 59.3 65.1
Jeff Thomas Jeff Thomas F 20 18.6 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.8 4.7 4.7 68 25 2.7 6.5 37.6 34.4 75.0 3.98 53.1 49.5
Devin Mitchell Devin Mitchell G 20 11.2 4.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 3.8 2.3 98 25 3.9 15.8 38.7 36.8 62.5 4.99 54.9 52.7
Isaiah Dennis Isaiah Dennis G 20 14.8 4.4 1.9 1.8 1.1 0.1 1.3 3.0 4.8 -33 25 -1.3 -3.9 55.9 50.0 60.0 -4.9 59.1 56.8
Jordan Session Jordan Session F 19 15.5 3.7 2.8 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.6 3.4 3.6 9 25 0.4 1.1 40.0 23.8 54.2 -2.7 46.3 43.8
Austin Donaldson Austin Donaldson G 16 10.6 2.3 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.8 2.9 1.6 -97 20 -4.8 -21.2 31.9 12.5 66.7 -9.95 36.3 33.0
Carter Cagle Carter Cagle G 3 2.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
Chris Clerkley Chris Clerkley F 7 2.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.1 - - - - 50.0 0 50.0 - 53.9 50.0
Nile Felton Nile Felton G 6 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG