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Georgia State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History
Coach: Jonas Hayes

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1135 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1100 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1068 (#81) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +7.2 (#78) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +9.0 (#55) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.847 (#20) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.1 More → 0.801 (#75) AdjNet +12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.2 More → 0.805 (#75) AdjNet +12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 57.5 More → 0.656 (#74) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 57.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.672 (#35) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.706 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.709 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 31 More → 1093 (#111) RD 114 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 @ Washington Huskies L 74 - 91
2011-11-13 @ Portland Pilots L 61 - 66
2011-11-14 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 77 - 84
2011-11-18 vs McNeese Cowboys W 69 - 50
2011-11-22 @ Samford Bulldogs W 55 - 47
2011-11-26 vs Liberty Flames W 72 - 50
2011-11-29 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs W 85 - 54
2011-12-01 vs Florida International Panthers W 73 - 47
2011-12-03 vs William & Mary Tribe W 66 - 34
2011-12-10 vs Rhode Island Rams W 96 - 64
2011-12-17 @ Utah Valley Wolverines W 71 - 68
2011-12-22 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 72 - 52
2012-01-02 vs Drexel Dragons W 58 - 44
2012-01-04 @ VCU Rams W 55 - 53
2012-01-07 @ George Mason Patriots L 58 - 61
2012-01-14 vs Towson Tigers W 57 - 42
2012-01-18 @ Northeastern Huskies L 57 - 60
2012-01-23 vs James Madison Dukes W 74 - 58
2012-01-25 @ Drexel Dragons L 46 - 68
2012-01-28 vs VCU Rams L 58 - 59
2012-02-01 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 68 - 53
2012-02-04 @ Hofstra Pride W 59 - 43
2012-02-08 vs Northeastern Huskies W 61 - 59
2012-02-14 @ James Madison Dukes W 67 - 64
2012-02-18 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 82 - 71
2012-02-22 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 60 - 65
2012-02-25 @ William & Mary Tribe W 64 - 60
2012-03-02 vs Hofstra Pride W 85 - 50
2012-03-03 @ George Mason Patriots L 59 - 61
2012-03-13 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 74 - 43
2012-03-17 @ Mercer Bears L 59 - 64

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Devonta White Devonta White G 30 33.9 13.1 2.2 2.9 1.7 0.0 2.1 1.9 15.9 167 29 5.8 7.4 33.3 30.4 76.9 0.53 314.1 39.5
Jihad Ali Jihad Ali G 30 32.2 12.3 5.9 1.4 1.6 0.6 1.4 1.8 18.6 227 29 7.8 10.4 39.6 41.7 80.0 4.36 297.7 44.3
Eric Buckner Eric Buckner F 30 30.1 10.5 6.8 0.4 0.5 3.5 1.3 1.3 19.0 147 29 5.1 7.0 55.0 0 50.0 -1.26 341.2 55.0
James Fields James Fields G 27 30.7 9.5 3.9 2.9 1.6 0.1 1.9 1.6 14.5 194 27 7.2 9.8 34.9 28.6 77.3 3.06 243.9 37.2
Josh Micheaux Josh Micheaux G 29 29.2 7.2 6.4 3.8 1.6 0.3 2.7 0.7 16.0 117 28 4.2 6.3 42.9 0 62.5 -2.15 428.2 42.9
Rashaad Richardson Rashaad Richardson G 30 14.0 5.3 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.3 6.7 56 29 1.9 6.2 12.5 33.3 0 -0.85 1000.0 18.8
Brandon McGee Brandon McGee F 26 11.3 3.5 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 5.6 37 25 1.5 5.9 18.2 0.0 100.0 -1.65 378.8 18.2
Tony Kimbro Tony Kimbro - 30 14.0 3.4 2.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 6.2 - - - - 35.7 0.0 14.3 - 295.7 35.7
James Vincent James Vincent C 28 8.8 3.3 2.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 5.1 58 27 2.1 11.3 76.9 0 100.0 0.54 315.0 76.9
Jamar Taylor Jamar Taylor - 11 2.6 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 -1 11 -0.1 -1.5 0 0 0 -1.51 0 0
Tyler Gamble Tyler Gamble - 9 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kevin Shaw Kevin Shaw G 12 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 -9 10 -0.9 -23.6 0 0 0 -2.39 0 0
Ryann Green Ryann Green G 10 1.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -3 8 -0.4 -12.7 0 0 0 -1.11 0 0
Justin Green Justin Green - 4 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG