Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | +8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +11 (82-71). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Hale III * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jeromie Hill * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Stephen Franklin * | 28 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Iggy Nujic * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Melvin Johnson III * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kannon Burrage | 27 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Sei Paye | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Wood | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Alex Vouyoukas | 9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Sims | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Whitehead | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Fields * | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Eric Buckner * | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Devonta White * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jihad Ali * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Josh Micheaux * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Rashaad Richardson | 13 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Tony Kimbro Jr. | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| James Vincent | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Shaw | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Gamble | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamar Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryann Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Green | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter