Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | +17.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers +32 (66-34). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn McDowell * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Julian Boatner * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kendrix Brown * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tim Rusthoven * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Britt * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Matt Rum | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Thornton | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Tom Schalk | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Fred Heldring | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Doug Howard II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ben Whitlatch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Pavloff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Fields * | 32 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Josh Micheaux * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Devonta White * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Eric Buckner * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Rashaad Richardson * | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jihad Ali | 34 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tony Kimbro Jr. | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| James Vincent | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Brandon McGee | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Jamar Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryann Green | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kevin Shaw | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tyler Gamble | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter