Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.7% | 19.3% | -10.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.8% | 10.2% | -12.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs -8 (47-55). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devonta White | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Josh Micheaux | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Jihad Ali | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 23 | - |
| James Fields | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Eric Buckner | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Tony Kimbro | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| James Vincent | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rashaad Richardson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brandon McGee | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Peterson | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Will Cook | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Drew Windler | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Devin McNeil | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Jeffrey Merritt | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Kaylin Johnson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Raijon Kelly | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Matthew Friday | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Hayman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Levi Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Hood | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter