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Georgia State

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History
Coach: Ron Hunter

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1135 (#106) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1100 (#104) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1068 (#81) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +7.2 (#78) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +9.0 (#55) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.847 (#20) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.1 More → 0.801 (#75) AdjNet +12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.2 More → 0.805 (#75) AdjNet +12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 57.5 More → 0.656 (#74) AdjO 64.5 | AdjD 57.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8 More → 0.672 (#35) AdjO 64.7 | AdjD 56.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.706 (#71) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.709 (#68) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 114 | GP 31 More → 1093 (#111) RD 114 | GP 31

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 @ Washington Huskies L 74 - 91
2011-11-13 @ Portland Pilots L 61 - 66
2011-11-14 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 77 - 84
2011-11-18 vs McNeese Cowboys W 69 - 50
2011-11-22 @ Samford Bulldogs W 55 - 47
2011-11-26 vs Liberty Flames W 72 - 50
2011-11-29 @ South Carolina State Bulldogs W 85 - 54
2011-12-01 vs Florida International Panthers W 73 - 47
2011-12-03 vs William & Mary Tribe W 66 - 34
2011-12-10 vs Rhode Island Rams W 96 - 64
2011-12-17 @ Utah Valley Wolverines W 71 - 68
2011-12-22 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 72 - 52
2012-01-02 vs Drexel Dragons W 58 - 44
2012-01-04 @ VCU Rams W 55 - 53
2012-01-07 @ George Mason Patriots L 58 - 61
2012-01-14 vs Towson Tigers W 57 - 42
2012-01-18 @ Northeastern Huskies L 57 - 60
2012-01-23 vs James Madison Dukes W 74 - 58
2012-01-25 @ Drexel Dragons L 46 - 68
2012-01-28 vs VCU Rams L 58 - 59
2012-02-01 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 68 - 53
2012-02-04 @ Hofstra Pride W 59 - 43
2012-02-08 vs Northeastern Huskies W 61 - 59
2012-02-14 @ James Madison Dukes W 67 - 64
2012-02-18 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 82 - 71
2012-02-22 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 60 - 65
2012-02-25 @ William & Mary Tribe W 64 - 60
2012-03-02 vs Hofstra Pride W 85 - 50
2012-03-03 @ George Mason Patriots L 59 - 61
2012-03-13 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 74 - 43
2012-03-17 @ Mercer Bears L 59 - 64

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Devonta White Devonta White G 30 33.9 13.1 2.2 2.9 1.7 0.0 2.1 1.9 15.9 167 29 5.8 7.4 33.3 30.4 76.9 0.53 314.1 39.5
Jihad Ali Jihad Ali G 30 32.2 12.3 5.9 1.4 1.6 0.6 1.4 1.8 18.6 227 29 7.8 10.4 39.6 41.7 80.0 4.36 297.7 44.3
Eric Buckner Eric Buckner F 30 30.1 10.5 6.8 0.4 0.5 3.5 1.3 1.3 19.0 147 29 5.1 7.0 55.0 0 50.0 -1.26 341.2 55.0
James Fields James Fields G 27 30.7 9.5 3.9 2.9 1.6 0.1 1.9 1.6 14.5 194 27 7.2 9.8 34.9 28.6 77.3 3.06 243.9 37.2
Josh Micheaux Josh Micheaux G 29 29.2 7.2 6.4 3.8 1.6 0.3 2.7 0.7 16.0 117 28 4.2 6.3 42.9 0 62.5 -2.15 428.2 42.9
Rashaad Richardson Rashaad Richardson G 30 14.0 5.3 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.3 6.7 56 29 1.9 6.2 12.5 33.3 0 -0.85 1000.0 18.8
Brandon McGee Brandon McGee F 26 11.3 3.5 2.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 5.6 37 25 1.5 5.9 18.2 0.0 100.0 -1.65 378.8 18.2
Tony Kimbro Tony Kimbro - 30 14.0 3.4 2.2 0.9 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 6.2 - - - - 35.7 0.0 14.3 - 295.7 35.7
James Vincent James Vincent C 28 8.8 3.3 2.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 5.1 58 27 2.1 11.3 76.9 0 100.0 0.54 315.0 76.9
Jamar Taylor Jamar Taylor - 11 2.6 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 -1 11 -0.1 -1.5 0 0 0 -1.51 0 0
Tyler Gamble Tyler Gamble - 9 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kevin Shaw Kevin Shaw G 12 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.7 -9 10 -0.9 -23.6 0 0 0 -2.39 0 0
Ryann Green Ryann Green G 10 1.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 -3 8 -0.4 -12.7 0 0 0 -1.11 0 0
Justin Green Justin Green - 4 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG