🐻⬇️🏀

Fresno State

Also known as: Fresno State Bulldogs, Fresno State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

61.0
PPG
61.0
Opp
-1.1
Margin
39.4%
FG%
37.8%
3P%
64.2%
FT%
32.3
RPG
12.0
APG
12.8
TO
74.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1301 (#163) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1326 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 960 (#479) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +24.5 (#148) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +11.3 (#125) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -19.0 More → 0.083 (#228) NetEff -19.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 58.2 More → 0.557 (#147) AdjO 60.8 | AdjD 58.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.715 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.685 (#145) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 143 | GP 31 More → 1060 (#168) RD 143 | GP 31

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Texas Longhorns L 53 - 55
2012-11-14 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 39 - 30
2012-11-16 vs Pacific Tigers W 66 - 61
2012-11-19 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 76 - 67
2012-11-25 vs Long Beach State Beach L 61 - 69
2012-11-28 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 54 - 57
2012-12-03 @ Long Beach State Beach W 64 - 59
2012-12-06 vs San Diego Christian Hawks W 84 - 49
2012-12-09 @ Washington State Cougars L 50 - 59
2012-12-12 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 43 - 50
2012-12-15 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 51 - 58
2012-12-22 @ UCLA Bruins L 78 - 91
2012-12-30 vs Sonoma State Seawolves W 89 - 64
2013-01-09 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 62 - 65
2013-01-12 @ New Mexico Lobos L 45 - 72
2013-01-16 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 49 - 36
2013-01-19 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 61 - 68
2013-01-23 @ Boise State Broncos L 67 - 74
2013-01-26 vs Colorado State Rams L 63 - 74
2013-01-30 @ Air Force Falcons L 50 - 62
2013-02-06 vs UNLV Rebels W 64 - 55
2013-02-09 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 53 - 75
2013-02-13 vs New Mexico Lobos L 48 - 54
2013-02-16 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 51 - 55
2013-02-19 @ Nevada Wolf Pack W 69 - 64
2013-02-23 vs Boise State Broncos L 63 - 72
2013-02-27 @ Colorado State Rams L 67 - 74
2013-03-02 vs Air Force Falcons W 56 - 41
2013-03-09 @ UNLV Rebels W 61 - 52
2013-03-13 @ Colorado State Rams L 61 - 67

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Johnson T. Johnson G 29 29.6 12.1 4.1 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.4 3.6 14.4 139 4.1 5.9 44.7 38.9 47.1 0.56 158.9 51.5
A. Huddleston A. Huddleston G 30 26.4 9.7 2.1 1.7 1.3 0.1 1.9 2.5 10.6 -15 -0.5 -0.8 28.9 29.2 61.0 0.36 155.3 38.2
K. Foster K. Foster F 29 21.5 8.6 6.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.5 2.6 12.2 220 3.3 5.2 33.3 36.4 62.5 1.34 152.4 38.7
K. Olekaibe K. Olekaibe G 30 24.9 8.3 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.1 1.4 3.5 8.1 5 0.2 0.3 30.5 29.7 90.9 0.36 113.8 39.5
M. Harris M. Harris G 30 24.1 7.4 2.5 1.5 0.9 0.2 1.5 2.5 8.5 -140 -2.3 -3.6 41.9 42.1 71.0 -0.05 126.1 47.3
J. Brown J. Brown F 30 24.8 5.3 4.3 0.7 1.2 0.6 1.0 1.8 9.2 141 5.6 7.6 34.5 0.0 65.4 1.27 118.9 34.5
B. Anderson B. Anderson F 10 17.5 4.1 3.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.9 2.5 4.8 -22 -2.2 -5.7 36.0 0.0 66.7 -0.01 74.2 36.0
R. Upshaw R. Upshaw C 22 16.4 4.1 3.8 0.3 0.3 1.8 1.0 1.1 8.2 -36 -1.6 -3.9 50.0 0 46.7 -0.19 148.7 50.0
T. Giddings T. Giddings C 29 14.2 2.1 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 3.6 -20 -0.7 -1.8 31.8 0 50.0 -0.23 121.8 31.8
G. Johnson G. Johnson G 18 10.8 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 3.3 252 7.6 11.8 40.0 50.0 100.0 1.72 165.4 45.0
A. Anderson A. Anderson G 27 15.0 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.7 2.9 29 1.2 4.3 45.0 50.0 50.0 0.62 91.0 57.5
B. Ely B. Ely - 3 5.0 0.7 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG