Model Predictions
| Model | Long Beach State Beach | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | +5.4 | ✗ (13.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | +7.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -8 (61-69). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Caffey | 38 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 3 | +11.1 |
| Peter Pappageorge | 37 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 7-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | +14.5 |
| James Ennis III | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17 | +21.2 |
| Kris Gulley | 31 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Kyle Richardson | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +5.0 |
| Dan Jennings | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Deng Deng | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +8.1 |
| Nick Shepherd | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Brown | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -8.7 |
| Kevin Olekaibe | 32 | 3-12 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | -12.8 |
| Tyler Johnson | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 4 | -18.6 |
| Kevin Foster | 26 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | +9.5 |
| Allen Huddleston | 21 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | +3.2 |
| Marvelle Harris | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -18.0 |
| Robert Upshaw | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -15.9 |
| Garrett Johnson | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Aaron Anderson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.6 |
| Tanner Giddings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.9 |
* = starter