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Florida State

Also known as: Florida State Seminoles, Florida State
Program History

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

73.8
PPG
71.7
Opp
-1.3
Margin
41.2%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
69.3%
FT%
39.0
RPG
15.2
APG
11.6
TO
85.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1148 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1280 (#107) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 974 (#511) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +30.3 (#93) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +15.6 (#124) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.316 (#90) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.4 More → 0.571 (#102) NetEff +2.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.477 (#66) AdjNet -0.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.8 More → 0.477 (#66) AdjNet -0.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 70.0 More → 0.494 (#251) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 70.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.788 (#130) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.738 (#144) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 29 More → 1087 (#157) RD 135 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-10 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 105 - 70
2021-11-14 @ Florida Gators L 55 - 71
2021-11-17 vs Tulane Green Wave W 59 - 54
2021-11-21 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 73 - 45
2021-11-22 @ Missouri Tigers W 81 - 58
2021-11-30 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 65 - 93
2021-12-04 vs Syracuse Orange L 60 - 63
2021-12-12 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 65 - 66
2021-12-15 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 97 - 60
2022-01-01 @ NC State Wolfpack W 83 - 81
2022-01-04 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 54 - 76
2022-01-11 vs Miami Hurricanes W 65 - 64
2022-01-15 @ Syracuse Orange W 76 - 71
2022-01-18 vs Duke Blue Devils W 79 - 78
2022-01-20 vs North Florida Ospreys W 86 - 73
2022-01-22 @ Miami Hurricanes W 61 - 60
2022-01-26 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 61 - 75
2022-01-29 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 72 - 85
2022-02-02 @ Clemson Tigers L 69 - 75
2022-02-05 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 60 - 68
2022-02-09 vs Pittsburgh Panthers L 51 - 56
2022-02-12 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 74 - 94
2022-02-15 vs Clemson Tigers W 81 - 80
2022-02-19 @ Duke Blue Devils L 70 - 88
2022-02-21 @ Boston College Eagles L 55 - 71
2022-02-26 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 64 - 63
2022-03-02 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 74 - 70
2022-03-05 vs NC State Wolfpack W 89 - 76
2022-03-09 vs Syracuse Orange L 57 - 96

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. LaRavia J. LaRavia - 1 40.0 18.0 13.0 9.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 26.0 - - - 70.0 100.0 75.0 1.35 76.5 75.0
C. Mills C. Mills - 24 26.0 11.9 2.4 2.4 1.4 0.5 2.1 3.8 12.8 -77 -3.0 -4.6 36.7 35.5 92.9 0.09 148.2 42.8
Matthew Cleveland Matthew Cleveland G 13 26.8 11.5 4.1 0.9 0.8 0.4 1.2 5.7 10.8 -105 -3.6 -5.8 44.6 18.2 45.5 -0.07 89.0 45.9
M. Osborne M. Osborne F 10 29.4 11.3 7.5 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.8 2.7 17.7 5 0.3 0.4 48.1 46.7 80.0 0.65 148.7 61.1
A. Polite A. Polite G 16 27.5 9.6 6.0 2.4 1.2 0.5 1.5 2.8 15.4 -32 -1.3 -2.0 38.6 35.0 81.8 0.39 142.5 46.6
N. Bohannon N. Bohannon F 2 30.0 9.5 7.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 17.0 18 0.5 1.0 0 0 0 0.34 0 0
R. Evans R. Evans G 19 25.5 8.4 2.7 3.2 1.6 0.4 1.6 2.8 11.9 -31 -1.1 -1.9 35.2 35.7 78.9 0.53 128.3 39.8
C. Fletcher C. Fletcher - 19 16.4 6.8 3.5 0.9 1.1 0.3 1.5 2.2 8.8 -77 -2.7 -6.6 48.8 18.2 66.7 -0.11 147.8 51.2
Jo. Butler Jr. Jo. Butler Jr. - 21 20.7 6.8 3.4 0.7 0.3 1.5 1.1 2.1 9.5 -91 -3.6 -6.8 44.4 52.4 37.5 2.05 147.4 56.7
T. Ngom T. Ngom C 12 13.5 6.1 3.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.4 7.9 -19 -0.9 -3.2 70.6 0 62.5 0.27 177.9 70.6
H. Prieto H. Prieto F 14 13.8 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.5 6.3 -34 -1.6 -5.1 52.4 42.9 75.0 -0.07 140.6 59.5
N. McLeod N. McLeod - 17 10.8 4.5 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.6 4.9 -27 -1.5 -5.5 64.3 0 44.4 -0.03 118.9 64.3
J. Warley J. Warley - 29 19.4 3.7 2.0 2.5 1.2 0.3 1.3 1.7 6.6 -28 -0.9 -1.9 28.6 33.3 83.3 0.85 93.1 33.7
W. Wilkes W. Wilkes G 21 15.6 3.1 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.9 1.5 4.4 -93 -3.0 -7.9 29.0 20.0 0.0 -0.56 105.0 35.5
Q. Ballard Q. Ballard C 8 3.8 0.8 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.4 2.0 -35 -2.1 -14.7 66.7 0 50.0 -0.32 63.0 66.7
I. Spainhour I. Spainhour - 6 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.3 - - - 33.3 25.0 0 - 41.7 41.7
J. Lindner J. Lindner G 7 2.4 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.4 -5 -0.5 -5.3 0.0 0 0 0.04 75.0 0.0
S. Spencer S. Spencer G 1 17.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -61 -2.8 -11.4 0 0 0 -0.92 0 0
R. McAdoo R. McAdoo G 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
O. Jankovic O. Jankovic - 1 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Yates C. Yates - 3 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
G. Thompson G. Thompson - 1 18.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 -21 -1.2 -5.5 0 0 0 -0.28 0 0
M. Thorpe M. Thorpe - 5 2.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0
Q. Pemberton Q. Pemberton - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG