Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +20 (94-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler * | 28 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Cleveland * | 27 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| R. Evans * | 25 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Ngom * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Mills * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Fletcher | 28 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | - |
| H. Prieto | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| W. Wilkes | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Warley | 22 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Q. Ballard | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. McAdoo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 28 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| L. Black * | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| C. Lebo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Farris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Watkins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Landry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter