🐻⬇️🏀

Florida State Seminoles

Also known as: Florida State Seminoles
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

70.4
PPG
78.1
Opp
-7.7
Margin
37.6%
FG%
30.7%
3P%
73.8%
FT%
40.3
RPG
11.9
APG
15.3
TO
89.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 909 (#518) HCA +113 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +16.9 (#108) HCA +2.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 68.9 More → 0.469 (#284) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 68.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.778 (#147) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.721 (#164) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 29 More → 935 (#276) RD 157 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 80 - 72
2025-11-09 @ UConn Huskies L 67 - 99
2025-11-12 vs Nicholls Colonels W 89 - 64
2025-11-16 vs Indiana Hoosiers L 72 - 76
2025-11-20 @ Florida Gators L 67 - 89
2025-11-28 vs Missouri State Bears W 85 - 75
2025-11-30 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 91 - 109
2025-12-03 vs Georgia Lady Bulldogs L 60 - 80
2025-12-07 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 58 - 93
2025-12-14 vs Charleston Cougars L 70 - 75
2025-12-18 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 54 - 79
2025-12-20 vs South Carolina State Lady Bulldogs W 89 - 41
2026-01-01 @ Syracuse Orange L 72 - 82
2026-01-04 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 87 - 91
2026-01-11 @ Miami Hurricanes L 73 - 89
2026-01-15 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 69 - 65
2026-01-18 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 55 - 82
2026-01-22 @ SMU Mustangs W 73 - 51
2026-01-25 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 69 - 80
2026-02-01 @ Clemson Tigers L 58 - 77
2026-02-05 @ NC State Wolfpack L 55 - 83
2026-02-08 vs Miami Hurricanes W 87 - 70
2026-02-12 vs Boston College Eagles W 85 - 76
2026-02-15 @ Louisville Cardinals L 65 - 88
2026-02-19 vs California Golden Bears L 62 - 75
2026-02-22 vs Stanford Cardinal L 61 - 77
2026-02-26 @ Duke Blue Devils L 52 - 80
2026-03-01 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 77 - 74
2026-03-04 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 60 - 72

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Williams S. Williams G 27 30.6 14.9 3.8 3.0 0.9 0.1 3.1 13.3 6.3 212 9.2 18.9 40.5 31.6 88.5 3.17 51.2 46.5
J. Shavers J. Shavers G 29 28.0 12.4 4.8 1.5 1.2 0.1 2.0 12.6 5.4 -9 -0.4 -0.6 32.2 34.4 84.3 4.1 44.7 39.6
S. Bowles S. Bowles G 26 20.7 8.2 2.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 2.2 7.4 3.2 9 0.5 1.0 35.8 31.2 73.6 3.12 49.0 44.8
A. Kubek A. Kubek F 26 23.5 7.6 4.3 1.0 0.6 0.7 1.2 6.7 6.3 -41 -2.0 -3.4 42.0 28.2 62.7 0.54 50.4 47.7
P. Davis P. Davis C 29 17.5 7.5 5.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.7 7.4 6.6 -72 -3.3 -6.5 40.9 12.5 58.2 -2.99 44.4 41.4
E. Risch E. Risch G 25 20.4 6.6 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 1.1 6.2 3.9 -69 -3.5 -8.3 33.3 35.0 80.6 -0.21 48.3 44.6
T. Greene T. Greene G 29 27.0 6.0 5.6 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.3 5.9 7.3 -58 -2.6 -6.2 36.5 24.6 73.9 1.17 45.5 40.9
A. Bonner A. Bonner G 28 23.5 5.5 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.5 2.0 5.6 3.8 -63 -3.0 -6.2 34.4 25.6 74.0 -1.67 43.3 37.6
A. Treadwell A. Treadwell F 29 13.4 3.8 4.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.6 2.6 6.1 -36 -1.6 -6.7 59.2 100.0 55.6 -0.91 60.4 59.9
M. Gerton M. Gerton G 24 10.0 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.8 2.7 1.2 - - - 29.2 25.0 100.0 - 37.9 36.9

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG