Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.1% | 41.9% | -8.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.1% | 34.9% | -6.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -13 (62-75). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lulu Twidale * | 40 | 10-20 | 5-13 | 5-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Sakima Walker * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Mjracle Sheppard * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Gisella Maul * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Claudia Langarita * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Aliyahna Morris | 17 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lola Donez | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Anastasia Drosouni | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Grace McCallop | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Naya Ojukwu | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum Greene * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Sole Williams * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Jasmine Shavers * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Amaya Bonner * | 26 | 1-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Pania Davis * | 15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Allie Kubek | 22 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sydney Bowles | 20 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Mari Gerton | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Avery Treadwell | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Emma Risch | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter