Emory
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1113 (#57) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1255 (#29) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1031 (#243) | HCA +62 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +28.1 (#7) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +24.4 (#96) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.837 (#277) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.962 (#121) | NetEff +24.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.966 (#155) | AdjNet +28.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.967 (#155) | AdjNet +28.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.844 (#152) | AdjO 74.3 | AdjD 55.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.842 (#37) | AdjO 69.5 | AdjD 51.0 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.892 (#70) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.881 (#71) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1194 (#71) | RD 108 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Trinity (TX) | W | 85 - 58 |
| 2025-11-09 | @ | Mary Hardin-Baylor | W | 80 - 59 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Randolph-Macon | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Dickinson | W | 82 - 55 |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Rhodes | W | 102 - 60 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Agnes Scott | W | 118 - 51 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | LaGrange | W | 75 - 48 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Rochester (NY) | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Brandeis | L | 56 - 62 |
| 2026-01-18 | @ | NYU | L | 66 - 93 |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | CWRU | W | 90 - 46 |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | WashU | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2026-02-01 | @ | UChicago | L | 42 - 54 |
| 2026-02-06 | vs | WashU | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2026-02-08 | vs | UChicago | L | 29 - 29 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum Olson | - | 14 | 26.6 | 14.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 11.9 | 8.2 | 76 | 4.2 | 14.2 | 46.4 | 49.3 | 73.1 | -0.38 | 58.6 | 56.9 |
| Annabelle Spotts | - | 1 | 34.6 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 12.0 | 6.0 | 90 | 4.7 | 14.1 | 41.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.11 | 46.6 | 41.7 |
| Alexandra Loucopoulos | - | 14 | 23.4 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 2.3 | 10.5 | 5.9 | 166 | 9.2 | 36.2 | 40.8 | 35.0 | 70.8 | 5.11 | 50.1 | 48.0 |
| Mary Mullinax | - | 14 | 26.3 | 10.9 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 9.2 | 10.0 | 156 | 8.7 | 32.2 | 45.0 | 33.3 | 82.8 | 2.51 | 53.6 | 49.6 |
| Caroline Workman | - | 1 | 32.9 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | 101 | 5.3 | 16.8 | 80.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.09 | 90.0 | 90.0 |
| Kasi Samuda | - | 1 | 21.7 | 9.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 110 | 6.1 | 22.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 75.0 | 1.45 | 41.8 | 33.3 |
| Riley Allen | - | 8 | 16.2 | 8.6 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 121 | 11.0 | 166.3 | 35.3 | 33.9 | 50.0 | 2.86 | 49.5 | 49.3 |
| Chris Sanders | - | 1 | 36.7 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 91 | 4.8 | 13.6 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 1.28 | 33.5 | 35.0 |
| Mia Strazza | - | 14 | 23.1 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 89 | 4.9 | 20.1 | 40.5 | 26.8 | 64.5 | 0.12 | 51.3 | 47.5 |
| Lily Kennedy | - | 14 | 21.0 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 5.4 | 5.9 | 119 | 6.6 | 28.8 | 38.2 | 30.0 | 68.8 | 1.6 | 45.2 | 42.1 |
| Kate Gross | - | 1 | 38.1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | -5.0 | 125 | 6.6 | 21.1 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 100.0 | 1.3 | 21.0 | 13.6 |
| Caroline Connelly | - | 14 | 18.4 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 7.5 | 96 | 5.3 | 24.8 | 50.9 | 0.0 | 81.8 | 2.41 | 54.2 | 50.9 |
| Alexis Clark | - | 1 | 18.3 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 80 | 4.2 | 29.3 | 33.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.46 | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Bri Simpson | - | 1 | 13.4 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 69 | 3.8 | 17.2 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.44 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Chloe Kreusser | - | 14 | 16.4 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 95 | 5.3 | 42.6 | 63.2 | 0 | 42.9 | 0.09 | 61.1 | 63.2 |
| Lauren Walsh | - | 14 | 8.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 13 | 0.8 | 7.7 | 42.2 | 40.9 | 58.3 | -0.66 | 53.7 | 52.2 |
| Savannah Seawell | - | 8 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 4.4 | 42 | 4.7 | 97.6 | 50.0 | 0 | 37.5 | -0.3 | 49.2 | 50.0 |
| Emma Starr | - | 14 | 14.2 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 141 | 7.8 | 65.0 | 28.9 | 30.0 | 86.7 | 2.33 | 46.0 | 36.8 |
| Serene Exalant | - | 2 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 | 1 | 0.3 | 9.7 | 100.0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.27 | 102.5 | 100.0 |
| Katherine Martini | - | 4 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.2 | -1.7 | 36.4 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 36.4 | 36.4 |
| Karen Xin | - | 1 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -1.0 | 52 | 2.7 | 43.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.02 | 29.1 | 33.3 |
| Sydney Cummings | - | 7 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 27 | 3.4 | 99.8 | 30.8 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -0.53 | 43.2 | 42.3 |
| Christina Psarros | - | 8 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 33 | 4.1 | 107.6 | 20.0 | 22.2 | 80.0 | -1.01 | 34.9 | 26.7 |
| Ruiqi Liu | - | 1 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28 | 1.6 | 30.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG