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East Tennessee State Bucs

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: East Tennessee State Buccaneers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

57.1
PPG
56.5
Opp
+0.6
Margin
35.0%
FG%
27.0%
3P%
68.8%
FT%
37.4
RPG
9.5
APG
13.5
TO
78.0
Pace
53.4
Adj PPG
61.1
Adj Opp PPG
#258
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1061 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 950 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 1054 (#114) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -8.4 (#260) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -6.4 (#242) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.422 (#201) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.3 More → 0.422 (#201) NetEff -2.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.231 (#249) AdjNet -10.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.8 More → 0.223 (#250) AdjNet -10.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 53.4 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.333 (#258) AdjO 53.4 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 57.7 More → 0.472 (#195) AdjO 56.5 | AdjD 57.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.391 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.420 (#206) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 29 More → 1010 (#170) RD 151 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Elon Phoenix L 56 - 65
2025-11-07 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers L 47 - 97
2025-11-12 vs Kennesaw State Owls L 63 - 64
2025-11-15 vs Claflin Panthers W 69 - 31
2025-11-20 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 52 - 61
2025-11-22 @ Memphis Tigers L 54 - 60
2025-11-28 vs Bellarmine Knights W 55 - 49
2025-11-29 vs Louisville Cardinals L 50 - 88
2025-11-30 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 60 - 54
2025-12-06 vs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles L 41 - 56
2025-12-11 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 63 - 53
2025-12-14 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 55 - 73
2025-12-18 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 59 - 37
2025-12-21 @ Charlotte 49ers W 51 - 50
2026-01-02 vs King (TN) Tornado W 72 - 47
2026-01-08 vs Furman Paladins L 70 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Wofford Terriers L 57 - 61
2026-01-17 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 41 - 53
2026-01-22 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 62 - 50
2026-01-24 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 58 - 48
2026-01-30 vs Samford Bulldogs W 53 - 44
2026-02-05 @ Wofford Terriers W 61 - 57
2026-02-07 @ Furman Paladins W 58 - 55
2026-02-10 vs Mercer Bears L 45 - 50
2026-02-14 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 91 - 90
2026-02-19 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 52 - 39
2026-02-21 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 61 - 51
2026-02-26 @ Mercer Bears W 58 - 51
2026-02-28 @ Samford Bulldogs W 46 - 39
2026-03-05 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 62 - 50
2026-03-06 vs Samford Bulldogs L 48 - 57

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anala Nelson Anala Nelson G 31 28.9 11.1 3.8 2.5 1.2 0.0 2.8 9.8 6.0 - - - - 33.0 21.4 77.1 - 45.4 35.0
D. López D. López G 26 26.9 8.9 3.8 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.6 8.5 4.7 - - - - 40.0 31.7 65.4 - 50.1 48.9
Carmen Richardson Carmen Richardson G 31 30.2 8.2 3.3 2.2 1.3 0.1 2.0 9.5 3.7 - - - - 32.1 25.0 82.0 - 40.3 36.3
Meghan Downing Meghan Downing F 26 27.0 8.1 8.3 1.2 0.8 2.2 1.7 7.5 11.3 - - - - 38.8 7.1 67.4 - 45.1 39.0
Jaidyn Harper Jaidyn Harper G 30 25.3 6.9 3.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.8 6.8 4.2 - - - - 38.2 33.3 47.8 - 48.1 47.8
Paige Lyons Paige Lyons G 27 12.9 4.2 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 3.7 1.3 - - - - 39.0 25.0 62.2 - 47.2 42.5
Lucy Hood Lucy Hood G 28 14.5 4.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 4.4 0.3 - - - - 30.3 30.6 100.0 - 45.0 44.3
Emmah McAmis Emmah McAmis G 30 14.6 3.6 3.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.2 3.5 3.2 - - - - 30.5 17.9 74.5 - 42.8 33.8
SaBreya Monsanto SaBreya Monsanto G 28 11.0 2.9 2.7 0.3 0.8 0.2 1.1 3.0 2.8 - - - - 33.3 12.5 48.1 - 38.4 33.9
Kennedy Younkin Kennedy Younkin F 28 13.3 1.8 3.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.2 3.1 - - - - 31.1 0.0 61.9 - 36.3 31.1
Lucia France Lucia France C 20 8.4 1.6 3.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 3.5 - - - - 59.1 0 62.5 - 60.7 59.1
G. Grüttner Bacoul G. Grüttner Bacoul G 13 6.3 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.7 -0.8 - - - - 27.3 0.0 0.0 - 26.2 27.3
Yanessa Boyd Yanessa Boyd G 21 7.0 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.1 - - - - 20.8 0.0 62.5 - 27.3 20.8
Maya McCorkle Maya McCorkle G 5 2.8 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 -0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1756 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Nelson22% Nelson22% Richardson38% Richardson24% Harper33% Harper31% Hood29% Richardson26% Hood32% Hood29%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Nelson26% Nelson23% Richardson34% Nelson25% Richardson26% Harper22% Hood29% López27% Richardson18% Hood26%
Misses: who misses most here

Anala NelsonCarmen RichardsonD. LópezJaidyn HarperLucy Hood

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 252-505 49.9 504 Anala Nelson 22% (110 pts) Meghan Downing 19% (96 pts) Anala Nelson 26% (67 misses) Meghan Downing 15% (38 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 106-316 33.5 212 Anala Nelson 22% (46 pts) Carmen Richardson 14% (30 pts) Anala Nelson 23% (48 misses) Carmen Richardson 16% (33 misses)
Mid-range left 39-124 31.5 78 Carmen Richardson 38% (30 pts) D. López 13% (10 pts) Carmen Richardson 34% (29 misses) Meghan Downing 18% (15 misses)
Mid-range center 29-81 35.8 58 Carmen Richardson 24% (14 pts) Anala Nelson 21% (12 pts) Anala Nelson 25% (13 misses) Carmen Richardson 23% (12 misses)
Mid-range right 33-130 25.4 66 Jaidyn Harper 33% (22 pts) Carmen Richardson 30% (20 pts) Carmen Richardson 26% (25 misses) Meghan Downing 23% (22 misses)
Left corner 3 13-53 24.5 39 Jaidyn Harper 31% (12 pts) Anala Nelson 15% (6 pts) Jaidyn Harper 22% (9 misses) Carmen Richardson 18% (7 misses)
Right corner 3 14-52 26.9 42 Lucy Hood 29% (12 pts) Carmen Richardson 21% (9 pts) Lucy Hood 29% (11 misses) Jaidyn Harper 26% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 left 54-197 27.4 162 Carmen Richardson 26% (42 pts) Jaidyn Harper 26% (42 pts) D. López 27% (38 misses) Carmen Richardson 20% (29 misses)
Above-break 3 center 22-100 22.0 66 Lucy Hood 32% (21 pts) D. López 23% (15 pts) Carmen Richardson 18% (14 misses) Lucy Hood 18% (14 misses)
Above-break 3 right 52-198 26.3 156 Lucy Hood 29% (45 pts) D. López 25% (39 pts) Lucy Hood 26% (38 misses) D. López 19% (28 misses)