Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✗ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers -1 (50-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meghan Downing | 32 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | +5.2 |
| D. López | 31 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +4.7 |
| Carmen Richardson | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -0.8 |
| Anala Nelson | 29 | 1-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -3 | +7.4 |
| Jaidyn Harper | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Yanessa Boyd | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -9.0 |
| Emmah McAmis | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -11.4 |
| Lucia France | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.6 |
| SaBreya Monsanto | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -8.0 |
| G. Grüttner Bacoul | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
| Lucy Hood | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.9 |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Smith | 37 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +4.9 |
| T. Hayes | 33 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -4.5 |
| Asianae Nicholson | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2.0 |
| Z. Best | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | +10.5 |
| J. Gage | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1.4 |
| C. Staley | 14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +12.6 |
| T. Cornish | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +14.2 |
| C. Thiel | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.4 |
| D. White | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -6.0 |
| P. Anderson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +1.4 |
| K. Nimo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.5 |
* = starter