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2025-11-22

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 77.7% 22.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 58.2% 41.8% - ✗
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 ✓ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - ✗
Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.4% 72.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Tigers +6 (60-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carmen Richardson 34 2-11 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 4 -5 -4.4
Anala Nelson 26 3-15 0-2 8-10 4 3 3 0 3 14 6 +12.7
Paige Lyons 24 4-7 1-3 5-7 2 0 1 0 4 14 6 -11.2
Jaidyn Harper 22 1-7 1-6 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 3 2 -0.3
Kennedy Younkin 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 10 0 0 0 1 4 9 -14.5
SaBreya Monsanto 20 1-4 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 4 4 4 +0.3
Meghan Downing 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 4 6 +5.3
Emmah McAmis 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 4 2 -10.8
D. López 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.9
Lucy Hood 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -0.2
G. Grüttner Bacoul 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -8.9
Yanessa Boyd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.8

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chae Harris 32 2-10 0-5 4-7 6 4 3 1 4 8 8 +6.4
Cori Allen 31 0-5 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 -3 -1.7
Tamya Smith 29 2-9 0-2 4-6 7 0 2 0 2 8 6 +15.0
Jordan Hunter 24 4-5 2-2 2-5 2 0 2 1 1 12 11 +4.3
Amauri Williams 24 5-10 0-0 1-4 5 0 0 1 2 11 5 +6.3
Daejah Richmond 19 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 4 6 +5.4
Paris Gaines 16 3-6 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 0 1 8 11 +8.3
Brooklynn Charlo 13 2-4 2-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 7 4 +12.4
Kennedi Alexander 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 +1.3
Brooklyn Alexander 5 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -5.3
JahNaesia Spiers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.4

* = starter