East Carolina
2026 Team Stats (29 games)
71.9
PPG
77.7
Opp
-5.8
Margin
41.9%
FG%
29.3%
3P%
70.9%
FT%
36.7
RPG
11.7
APG
12.2
TO
81.9
Pace
72.7
AdjO
77.7
AdjD
#234
Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 862 (#284) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 891 (#263) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 931 (#624) | HCA +109 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.9 (#249) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +11.2 (#218) | HCA +2.5 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.279 (#301) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.240 (#262) | NetEff -10.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.315 (#238) | AdjNet -6.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.312 (#239) | AdjNet -6.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.389 (#234) | AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 77.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.461 (#447) | AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 75.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.636 (#259) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.600 (#260) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 987 (#250) | RD 145 | GP 29 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Riley
|
G | 28 | 37.9 | 23.5 | 5.9 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 19.4 | 12.5 | -116 | -5.5 | -6.5 | 41.8 | 32.4 | 70.8 | -0.04 | 50.6 | 44.8 |
G. Emejuru
|
- | 29 | 32.7 | 12.9 | 9.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 7.4 | 16.0 | -118 | -5.4 | -7.4 | 57.9 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -0.31 | 62.1 | 57.9 |
D. Gardner
|
- | 18 | 27.9 | 11.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 8.8 | 5.1 | -26 | -2.6 | -5.4 | 44.9 | 42.6 | 86.5 | 0.2 | 57.4 | 53.2 |
Corey Caulker
|
- | 29 | 30.8 | 8.2 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 8.5 | 5.0 | -103 | -4.7 | -6.8 | 33.7 | 33.9 | 77.5 | -0.34 | 45.0 | 41.9 |
T. Bailey
|
G | 18 | 23.8 | 7.2 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 6.4 | 3.4 | -57 | -2.9 | -6.0 | 30.4 | 27.1 | 73.2 | -0.0 | 46.5 | 38.7 |
E. DeLaurier
|
- | 23 | 15.9 | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 3.0 | -50 | -3.3 | -11.9 | 41.7 | 13.3 | 90.5 | -0.3 | 48.6 | 43.7 |
Isaiah Mbeng
|
G | 29 | 23.1 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 3.8 | -106 | -4.8 | -9.4 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 65.4 | -0.66 | 44.4 | 41.9 |
R. Cason
|
F | 29 | 15.8 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.8 | 5.8 | -102 | -4.6 | -13.0 | 56.1 | 11.1 | 67.5 | -0.7 | 60.2 | 56.7 |
J. Woodard
|
G | 3 | 10.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 4 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 57.1 | 0.05 | 55.1 | 50.0 |
L. Davis
|
- | 24 | 11.0 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.3 | 47 | 2.1 | 4.1 | 48.9 | 16.7 | 78.9 | 0.38 | 56.0 | 50.0 |
Vito Perkovic
|
- | 17 | 6.1 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 | -9 | -0.6 | -4.0 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.15 | 43.2 | 38.9 |
Patrick D'Arcy
|
- | 19 | 7.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | -38 | -2.4 | -14.3 | 22.2 | 20.8 | 100.0 | -0.26 | 36.5 | 31.5 |
L. Felton
|
- | 4 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 0.7 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.01 | 34.7 | 0.0 |
Grant Smith
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | -0.03 | - | - |
T. LaBeaux
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Daithi Quinn
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jake Baker
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | 11 | 0.6 | 1.0 | - | - | - | -0.54 | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG