Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates +16 (88-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Simpson | 38 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| K. Rayfield | 36 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| B. Moss | 36 | 5-16 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| D. Akitoby | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| M. Coffi | 21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| LJ Brown | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Njie | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| J. Fazande | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Riley | 36 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| I. Mbeng | 33 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| G. Emejuru | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| C. Caulker | 24 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Gardner | 23 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| E. DeLaurier | 23 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| L. Davis | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Cason | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| V. Perkovic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. D'Arcy | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Felton | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter