Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.6% | 25.4% | -5.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -1 (81-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Riley | 39 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 10-14 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 23 | - |
| C. Caulker | 38 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| G. Emejuru | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| E. DeLaurier | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Gardner | 29 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 3 | - |
| I. Mbeng | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Cason | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| P. D'Arcy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Perkovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hayes | 40 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Simpson | 40 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 21 | - |
| D. Akitoby | 39 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| B. Moss | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Coffi | 27 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Njie | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter