Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | East Carolina Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 91.9% | 8.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.1% | 0.9% | -25.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Carolina Pirates -33 (56-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | +6.3 |
| Coen Carr * | 24 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +6.9 |
| Jaxon Kohler * | 21 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 21 | +11.5 |
| Carson Cooper * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 18 | +7.3 |
| Trey Fort * | 17 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Cameron Ward | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +23.0 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 16 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +13.9 |
| Kur Teng | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +20.6 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Jordan Scott | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +13.2 |
| Denham Wojcik | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.5 |
| Nick Sanders | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.0 |
| Brennan Walton | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Colin Walton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Emejuru * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -21.8 |
| Jordan Riley * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | -2 | -27.8 |
| Tybo Bailey * | 31 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -11.9 |
| Reid Cason * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -10.4 |
| Isaiah Mbeng * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | -8.7 |
| Corey Caulker | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -6.8 |
| Eli DeLaurier | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -9.8 |
| Vito Perkovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.4 |
| Patrick D'Arcy | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +8.5 |
* = starter