🐻⬇️🏀

East Carolina

Also known as: East Carolina Pirates
Program History

2026 Team Stats (29 games)

71.9
PPG
77.7
Opp
-5.8
Margin
41.9%
FG%
29.3%
3P%
70.9%
FT%
36.7
RPG
11.7
APG
12.2
TO
81.9
Pace
72.7
AdjO
77.7
AdjD
#234
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 862 (#284) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 891 (#263) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 931 (#624) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -5.9 (#249) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +11.2 (#218) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.279 (#301) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.1 More → 0.240 (#262) NetEff -10.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -6.7 More → 0.315 (#238) AdjNet -6.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.8 More → 0.312 (#239) AdjNet -6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 77.7 More → 0.389 (#234) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 77.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 75.4 More → 0.461 (#447) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 75.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.636 (#259) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.600 (#260) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 145 | GP 29 More → 987 (#250) RD 145 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 92 - 89
2025-11-08 @ Richmond Spiders L 72 - 87
2025-11-13 vs Elizabeth City State Vikings W 71 - 70
2025-11-18 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 60 - 85
2025-11-21 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 65 - 77
2025-11-25 vs Michigan State Spartans L 56 - 89
2025-11-27 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 58 - 67
2025-12-02 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks W 68 - 56
2025-12-14 vs Buffalo Bulls W 73 - 70
2025-12-17 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 74 - 53
2025-12-22 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 51 - 99
2025-12-31 vs Tulane Green Wave L 70 - 79
2026-01-07 @ Temple Owls L 67 - 75
2026-01-11 vs UAB Blazers L 85 - 87
2026-01-14 @ South Florida Bulls L 71 - 82
2026-01-18 vs Charlotte 49ers L 70 - 73
2026-01-21 @ Wichita State Shockers L 60 - 77
2026-01-24 @ North Texas Mean Green W 63 - 59
2026-01-28 vs Rice Owls L 77 - 83
2026-02-01 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 76 - 75
2026-02-07 vs Temple Owls L 73 - 81
2026-02-11 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 88 - 72
2026-02-14 @ Rice Owls W 85 - 75
2026-02-18 vs Wichita State Shockers L 89 - 92
2026-02-21 @ Charlotte 49ers L 56 - 68
2026-02-25 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 82 - 81
2026-03-01 vs Memphis Tigers W 84 - 68
2026-03-05 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 66 - 93
2026-03-08 @ UAB Blazers L 83 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Riley J. Riley G 28 37.9 23.5 5.9 2.5 2.0 0.5 2.4 19.4 12.5 -116 -5.5 -6.5 41.8 32.4 70.8 -0.04 50.6 44.8
G. Emejuru G. Emejuru - 29 32.7 12.9 9.2 0.5 0.8 1.8 1.8 7.4 16.0 -118 -5.4 -7.4 57.9 0.0 63.6 -0.31 62.1 57.9
D. Gardner D. Gardner - 18 27.9 11.1 2.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 1.6 8.8 5.1 -26 -2.6 -5.4 44.9 42.6 86.5 0.2 57.4 53.2
Corey Caulker Corey Caulker - 29 30.8 8.2 2.3 3.8 0.8 0.0 1.7 8.5 5.0 -103 -4.7 -6.8 33.7 33.9 77.5 -0.34 45.0 41.9
T. Bailey T. Bailey G 18 23.8 7.2 2.3 0.7 0.7 0.0 1.1 6.4 3.4 -57 -2.9 -6.0 30.4 27.1 73.2 -0.0 46.5 38.7
E. DeLaurier E. DeLaurier - 23 15.9 4.7 2.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.1 4.5 3.0 -50 -3.3 -11.9 41.7 13.3 90.5 -0.3 48.6 43.7
Isaiah Mbeng Isaiah Mbeng G 29 23.1 4.5 2.2 2.6 0.8 0.0 1.8 4.7 3.8 -106 -4.8 -9.4 33.3 25.0 65.4 -0.66 44.4 41.9
R. Cason R. Cason F 29 15.8 4.1 3.5 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.9 2.8 5.8 -102 -4.6 -13.0 56.1 11.1 67.5 -0.7 60.2 56.7
J. Woodard J. Woodard G 3 10.0 3.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.0 2.7 4 0.7 3.9 50.0 0.0 57.1 0.05 55.1 50.0
L. Davis L. Davis - 24 11.0 2.6 3.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.0 4.3 47 2.1 4.1 48.9 16.7 78.9 0.38 56.0 50.0
Vito Perkovic Vito Perkovic - 17 6.1 1.9 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 2.1 1.1 -9 -0.6 -4.0 33.3 25.0 100.0 -0.15 43.2 38.9
Patrick D'Arcy Patrick D'Arcy - 19 7.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.4 0.7 -38 -2.4 -14.3 22.2 20.8 100.0 -0.26 36.5 31.5
L. Felton L. Felton - 4 3.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 2 0.7 19.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.01 34.7 0.0
Grant Smith Grant Smith F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - -0.03 - -
T. LaBeaux T. LaBeaux G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Daithi Quinn Daithi Quinn G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jake Baker Jake Baker G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 11 0.6 1.0 - - - -0.54 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG