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Detroit Pistons

Also known as: Detroit Pistons
Program History

2004 Team Stats (79 games)

90.3
PPG
84.4
Opp
+5.8
Margin
43.5%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
75.3%
FT%
42.8
RPG
20.8
APG
14.3
TO
90.3
Est. poss./game
87.8
Adj PPG
82.0
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1381 (#1) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1134 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 1173 (#1) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +5.9 (#2) HCA +3.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +4.3 More โ†’ +9.3 (#1) HCA +4.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.689 (#2) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +6.6 More โ†’ 0.689 (#2) NetEff +6.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.0 More โ†’ 0.691 (#2) AdjNet +7.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.0 More โ†’ 0.692 (#2) AdjNet +7.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 87.8 | AdjD 82.0 More โ†’ 0.630 (#2) AdjO 87.8 | AdjD 82.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 79.0 More โ†’ 0.684 (#1) AdjO 87.5 | AdjD 79.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.754 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.763 (#1) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 63 | GP 105 More โ†’ 1195 (#1) RD 63 | GP 105

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-10-29 vs Indiana Pacers L 87 - 89
2003-10-31 @ Miami Heat W 93 - 81
2003-11-01 @ Orlando Magic W 96 - 85
2003-11-05 vs Boston Celtics W 96 - 88
2003-11-07 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 105 - 99
2003-11-09 vs Brooklyn Nets W 98 - 84
2003-11-11 @ Sacramento Kings L 91 - 97
2003-11-12 @ Golden State Warriors L 85 - 87
2003-11-14 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 89 - 94
2003-11-15 @ Phoenix Suns W 100 - 91
2003-11-18 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 106 - 96
2003-11-19 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 99 - 92
2003-11-21 vs New York Knicks W 94 - 85
2003-11-23 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 80 - 81
2003-11-24 @ Atlanta Hawks W 94 - 89
2003-11-26 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 86 - 90
2003-11-28 vs Cleveland Cavaliers W 92 - 88
2003-11-29 @ Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2003-12-01 @ New York Knicks W 79 - 78
2003-12-03 vs Miami Heat W 87 - 73
2003-12-06 @ Houston Rockets L 80 - 86
2003-12-09 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 76 - 78
2003-12-11 @ Cleveland Cavaliers L 86 - 95
2003-12-12 vs Oklahoma City Thunder L 72 - 93
2003-12-17 vs Chicago Bulls W 77 - 73
2003-12-19 @ Indiana Pacers L 75 - 80
2003-12-21 vs Utah Jazz W 96 - 75
2003-12-23 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 78 - 83
2003-12-26 vs Brooklyn Nets L 79 - 82
2003-12-27 @ Atlanta Hawks W 87 - 84
2003-12-29 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 108 - 99
2003-12-31 vs Portland Trail Blazers W 78 - 71
2004-01-02 vs Phoenix Suns W 93 - 81
2004-01-03 vs Golden State Warriors W 99 - 93
2004-01-05 @ Boston Celtics W 78 - 68
2004-01-07 vs Houston Rockets W 85 - 66
2004-01-11 vs Dallas Mavericks W 115 - 102
2004-01-13 @ Chicago Bulls W 105 - 89
2004-01-14 vs Toronto Raptors W 95 - 91
2004-01-16 vs Washington Wizards W 98 - 77
2004-01-17 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 99 - 94
2004-01-19 vs San Antonio Spurs W 85 - 77
2004-01-20 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-01-23 @ Minnesota Timberwolves L 79 - 80
2004-01-25 vs Atlanta Hawks L 82 - 91
2004-01-28 @ Boston Celtics W 106 - 103
2004-01-30 @ Toronto Raptors W 90 - 89
2004-01-31 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 80 - 78
2004-02-02 @ Miami Heat W 102 - 100
2004-02-03 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 82 - 85
2004-02-06 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 81 - 92
2004-02-07 @ Dallas Mavericks L 108 - 111
2004-02-10 @ Brooklyn Nets L 78 - 89
2004-02-11 vs Sacramento Kings L 94 - 96
2004-02-17 @ New York Knicks L 88 - 92
2004-02-18 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 102 - 98
2004-02-20 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 87 - 88
2004-02-22 vs Orlando Magic L 86 - 87
2004-02-23 @ Philadelphia 76ers W 76 - 66
2004-02-25 @ Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2004-02-27 vs Atlanta Hawks W 105 - 83
2004-02-29 @ LA Clippers W 100 - 88
2004-03-01 @ Utah Jazz L 86 - 94
2004-03-04 @ Portland Trail Blazers W 83 - 68
2004-03-06 @ Denver Nuggets W 97 - 66
2004-03-07 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 86 - 65
2004-03-10 vs Chicago Bulls W 98 - 65
2004-03-14 vs Philadelphia 76ers W 85 - 69
2004-03-18 @ Brooklyn Nets W 89 - 71
2004-03-19 vs Denver Nuggets W 94 - 75
2004-03-21 @ Cleveland Cavaliers W 96 - 76
2004-03-23 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 81 - 82
2004-03-25 @ San Antonio Spurs L 75 - 84
2004-03-27 vs New York Knicks W 100 - 85
2004-03-31 vs LA Clippers W 108 - 99
2004-04-02 vs Miami Heat W 92 - 84
2004-04-04 vs Indiana Pacers W 79 - 61
2004-04-06 vs Orlando Magic W 102 - 86
2004-04-09 vs Toronto Raptors W 74 - 66
2004-04-10 @ Orlando Magic W 101 - 89
2004-04-12 vs Washington Wizards W 101 - 79
2004-04-13 @ Toronto Raptors L 78 - 87
2004-04-18 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2004-04-21 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2004-04-24 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2004-04-26 @ Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2004-04-29 vs Milwaukee Bucks - Incomplete score
2004-05-03 vs Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2004-05-07 vs Brooklyn Nets W 95 - 80
2004-05-09 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2004-05-11 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2004-05-14 vs Brooklyn Nets - Preview
2004-05-16 @ Brooklyn Nets - Incomplete score
2004-05-20 vs Brooklyn Nets W 90 - 69
2004-05-22 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-05-24 @ Indiana Pacers W 72 - 67
2004-05-26 vs Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-05-28 vs Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-05-30 @ Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-06-01 vs Indiana Pacers - Incomplete score
2004-06-06 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-06-08 @ Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-06-10 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-06-13 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score
2004-06-15 vs Los Angeles Lakers - Incomplete score

2004 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Richard Hamilton G 75 35.5 17.5 3.6 4.0 1.3 0.2 2.7 15.0 9.0 - - - - 45.3 25.4 86.9 - 51.9 46.0
Chauncey Billups G 75 35.3 16.9 3.5 5.7 1.1 0.1 2.4 12.8 12.2 - - - - 39.6 38.5 87.8 - 55.2 46.1
Rasheed Wallace G 21 30.9 13.7 7.0 1.8 1.1 2.0 1.4 12.8 11.5 - - - - 42.9 30.9 69.2 - 49.3 46.8
Tayshaun Prince G 79 32.9 10.4 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.9 1.5 8.9 8.7 - - - - 46.9 35.7 77.6 - 53.7 50.8
Mehmet Okur G 69 22.4 9.7 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.9 1.4 7.7 9.1 - - - - 46.8 38.3 77.6 - 54.2 48.5
Ben Wallace G 78 37.7 9.6 12.5 1.7 1.8 3.1 1.5 9.3 17.9 - - - - 42.0 12.5 49.1 - 44.1 42.1
Corliss Williamson G 76 19.7 9.5 3.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.4 7.6 5.0 - - - - 50.3 0 73.2 - 54.4 50.3
Chucky Atkins G 39 18.8 6.3 1.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 1.2 5.9 3.2 - - - - 37.5 32.8 72.1 - 49.2 46.6
Mike James G 25 19.5 6.3 2.2 3.7 0.9 0.0 1.6 5.6 5.9 - - - - 40.4 37.0 85.2 - 51.3 47.5
Elden Campbell G 62 13.6 5.4 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.7 1.0 4.8 4.6 - - - - 43.4 0 68.6 - 48.6 43.4
Bob Sura G 51 13.5 3.8 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.7 3.3 4.4 - - - - 41.3 25.0 70.1 - 49.4 44.0
Lindsey Hunter G 33 20.0 3.5 2.0 2.6 1.2 0.2 1.0 4.3 4.2 - - - - 34.3 28.0 62.5 - 39.9 39.2
Zeljko Rebraca G 20 10.8 3.2 2.5 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 2.7 3.2 - - - - 40.7 0 80.8 - 49.7 40.7
Darvin Ham G 52 9.1 1.8 1.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.2 - - - - 50.0 50.0 60.0 - 53.7 50.7
Tremaine Fowlkes G 34 7.2 1.3 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.7 - - - - 31.2 12.5 72.2 - 39.3 32.3
Darko Milicic C 33 4.7 1.3 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.9 1.2 - - - - 27.0 0.0 50.0 - 30.0 27.0
Hubert Davis G 3 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 -0.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG