Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -12 (81-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chauncey Billups * | 37 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 12-14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 36 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Zeljko Rebraca * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tremaine Fowlkes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darko Milicic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 8-19 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 23 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| John Wallace * | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter