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2004-01-19

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Margin 65.3% 34.7% -3.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +8 (85-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Duncan * 40 7-13 0-0 3-6 10 6 1 1 6 17 16 -
Hedo Turkoglu * 31 6-13 2-6 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 14 10 -
Bruce Bowen * 31 1-9 1-4 0-2 3 3 1 0 0 3 1 -
Manu Ginobili * 28 4-9 1-3 1-1 3 4 1 0 1 10 8 -
Rasho Nesterovic * 26 3-5 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
Tony Parker * 26 2-9 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 5 -2 -
Charlie Ward * 22 4-7 4-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 12 8 -
Robert Horry * 22 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 2 1 2 4 5 -
Kevin Willis * 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Malik Rose * 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Ron Mercer 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Wallace * 39 3-8 0-0 1-4 16 2 4 3 3 7 21 -
Tayshaun Prince * 38 3-5 1-2 0-0 9 2 0 0 1 7 12 -
Richard Hamilton * 32 5-14 0-1 3-3 3 6 3 2 4 13 9 -
Mehmet Okur * 31 5-11 1-2 4-4 5 0 0 3 1 15 11 -
Chauncey Billups * 31 4-12 2-4 8-8 1 4 1 0 3 18 9 -
Chucky Atkins * 21 5-10 4-8 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
Elden Campbell * 13 0-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -
Bob Sura * 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Corliss Williamson * 11 2-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 4 -5 -
Darvin Ham * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter