Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -2 (100-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 45 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 42 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 40 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 7-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Corliss Williamson * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Chucky Atkins * | 20 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Elden Campbell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 47 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 8-10 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 44 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 40 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 39 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Wang Zhi-zhi | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter