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Charlotte 49ers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Charlotte 49ers
Program History
Coach: Aaron Fearne

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

73.9
PPG
74.3
Opp
-0.4
Margin
45.9%
FG%
35.3%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
34.5
RPG
13.0
APG
11.7
TO
75.8
Pace
72.7
AdjO
71.7
AdjD
#149
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1051 (#137) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 979 (#201) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1021 (#145) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +0.5 (#153) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.4 (#163) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.477 (#192) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.2 More → 0.591 (#145) NetEff +3.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.540 (#150) AdjNet +1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.540 (#150) AdjNet +1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 71.7 More → 0.522 (#149) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 71.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.520 (#212) AdjO 72.7 | AdjD 71.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.760 (#171) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.721 (#172) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 123 | GP 33 More → 1089 (#146) RD 123 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 92 - 76
2025-11-07 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 70 - 65
2025-11-11 vs Davidson Wildcats L 55 - 62
2025-11-16 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 76 - 84
2025-11-21 @ App State Mountaineers L 63 - 65
2025-11-23 vs Shaw Bears W 83 - 79
2025-11-27 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 69 - 79
2025-11-28 vs Richmond Spiders L 66 - 71
2025-12-02 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 74 - 57
2025-12-14 @ Charleston Cougars L 67 - 74
2025-12-18 vs Lafayette Leopards W 81 - 67
2025-12-21 vs UIC Flames W 88 - 76
2025-12-30 vs Temple Owls L 73 - 76
2026-01-03 vs Wichita State Shockers W 104 - 100
2026-01-07 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 74 - 58
2026-01-11 @ Rice Owls W 74 - 73
2026-01-14 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 74 - 86
2026-01-18 @ East Carolina Pirates W 73 - 70
2026-01-25 vs Tulane Green Wave W 73 - 70
2026-01-28 @ Temple Owls W 80 - 76
2026-01-31 vs Rice Owls W 80 - 70
2026-02-04 @ Wichita State Shockers L 64 - 74
2026-02-08 @ Memphis Tigers L 54 - 77
2026-02-15 vs UTSA Roadrunners L 79 - 88
2026-02-18 @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane L 74 - 79
2026-02-21 vs East Carolina Pirates W 68 - 56
2026-02-25 vs North Texas Mean Green W 80 - 79
2026-03-01 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 76 - 77
2026-03-04 vs UAB Blazers L 74 - 80
2026-03-08 @ South Florida Bulls L 60 - 83
2026-03-12 vs Tulane Green Wave W 74 - 60
2026-03-13 @ UAB Blazers W 83 - 78
2026-03-14 @ South Florida Bulls L 64 - 86

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Bradford B. Bradford - 33 28.3 13.5 3.8 1.5 1.0 0.1 2.0 9.8 8.2 -33 -1.4 -2.4 45.4 29.6 78.4 -0.16 57.0 50.3
D. Mingo D. Mingo - 32 27.7 12.7 3.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 2.1 9.5 10.1 24 1.0 1.8 43.3 37.1 75.9 0.31 56.9 52.0
A. Bonke A. Bonke - 33 25.7 10.7 8.2 1.0 0.2 1.5 1.6 7.3 12.7 3 0.4 0.8 57.4 33.3 66.0 0.11 62.1 59.9
D. Harrison D. Harrison G 29 21.2 10.0 2.3 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.0 7.2 5.3 6 1.0 22.9 46.6 39.9 80.0 0.09 64.1 61.8
A. Conyers A. Conyers F 31 19.4 7.5 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.6 5.9 3.4 -7 -0.3 -0.8 41.2 35.9 83.3 -0.12 58.4 55.2
M. Freeman M. Freeman - 27 17.1 6.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.9 5.4 3.9 -15 -0.6 -1.7 40.4 36.1 65.8 0.05 53.2 50.7
D. Gomez D. Gomez - 2 19.5 5.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 0.5 3.5 7.0 -9 -4.5 -9.2 57.1 66.7 0 -0.0 71.4 71.4
S. Elliott S. Elliott F 33 17.0 4.1 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 3.5 4.7 31 1.3 3.9 47.4 24.0 50.0 0.51 51.0 50.0
J. Elouna Eyenga J. Elouna Eyenga - 24 18.4 3.5 3.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.9 -88 -0.3 -5.2 45.7 29.6 56.5 -1.06 53.0 51.4
K. Mading K. Mading C 17 7.6 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 2.3 2.0 -52 -4.0 -19.3 56.4 35.7 77.8 -0.66 65.2 62.8
E. Butler E. Butler - 27 13.4 3.2 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.6 2.3 3.6 5 0.2 0.7 46.8 42.9 80.0 0.15 59.6 54.0
R. Villar R. Villar - 32 11.9 3.2 1.6 1.2 0.6 0.0 0.6 2.1 4.0 10 0.5 1.6 38.8 29.6 81.5 -0.18 57.3 44.8
K. Blackmon K. Blackmon - 28 10.8 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.8 -33 -1.6 -5.9 31.4 32.4 63.6 -0.26 47.0 42.2
N. Richart N. Richart F 23 6.7 0.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.9 -22 -1.6 -9.1 75.0 0 25.0 -0.48 53.2 75.0
A. Bailey A. Bailey - 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.3 -18.0 0 0 0.0 -0.02 0.0 0
Frank Oguche Frank Oguche G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG