Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✗ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bradford * | 33 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | +4.2 |
| D. Mingo * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +4.4 |
| E. Butler * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | +5.2 |
| A. Bonke * | 27 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | +0.1 |
| M. Freeman * | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +9.9 |
| K. Mading | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -11.0 |
| K. Blackmon | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.9 |
| D. Harrison | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -11.8 |
| R. Villar | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| S. Elliott | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.1 |
| A. Conyers | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.0 |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dodd * | 31 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -5.0 |
| E. Banks * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +4.1 |
| K. Jennings * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | -5.8 |
| C. Moodie * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6.2 |
| L. Wilson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -9.0 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 25 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +7.8 |
| A. Njock | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +10.7 |
| J. Clarke Jr. | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.9 |
| J. Tot | 15 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6.1 |
* = starter